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Ravens look to keep playoff hopes alive Sunday vs. Browns
By: Zach Cohen - StatFox
Published: 12/28/2014  at  5:28:00 AM
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CLEVELAND BROWNS (7-8)
at BALTIMORE RAVENS (9-6)

Kickoff: Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET
Line: Baltimore -9, Total: 42.5

The Browns look to spoil the Ravens’ playoff hopes and finish with a .500 season when the AFC North rivals meet on Sunday.

Cleveland was unable to win in Carolina last week, losing 17-13 as 6-point underdogs, marking its fourth straight SU loss (2-2 ATS). Meanwhile, Baltimore lost 25-13 as a 5-point favorite in Houston last week, dropping the club to 1-3 ATS (2-2 SU) in its past four contests. When these teams met earlier in the season on Sept. 21, the Ravens won 23-21 as 1.5-point road favorites by out-rushing the Browns 160 to 91. Baltimore is 4-1 SU (3-2 ATS) in this series over the past three seasons and has won-and-covered in six of its past seven trips to Cleveland. The Ravens are 28-13 ATS after gaining four or less yards per play in their previous game since 1992, and are also 38-19 ATS after being outgained by their opponent by 100+ total yards in that timeframe. QB Johnny Manziel (hamstring) has been ruled out for this game, and QB Brian Hoyer (biceps, shoulder) might not be able to play either, which would leave undrafted rookie Connor Shaw as the starting quarterback. Other notable injuries in this game include Browns CB Joe Haden (shoulder) and WR Andrew Hawkins (thumb) who are both questionable. Baltimore also has some major players injured with WR Steve Smith (knee), OT Eugene Monroe (ankle) and OT Rick Wagner (foot) all questionable, while RB Justin Forsett (ankle) has been upgraded to probable.

Can the Ravens keep their playoff hopes alive with a double-digit win? For the answer, connect to NFL Best Bets for all the StatFox Experts picks throughout the 2014 regular season and playoffs. StatFox Gary is coming off a perfect 5-0 ATS record in Best Bets for Week 16, and is now 71% ATS (20-8-1) in Best Bets since Week 9. StatFox Dave is 56% ATS (32-25-2) in Best Bets during since Week 3, while StatFox Scott is 54% ATS (31-26-1) during this same timeframe. StatFox Brian is 54% (28-24) in NFL Totals this season.

The Browns defense really missed top CB Joe Haden last week, surrendering 404 total yards against the Panthers in a 17-13 loss. Cleveland allowed Carolina's offense to go 9-of-16 on third downs, and will need to get more timely stops against the Ravens in this one. Offensively, the Browns lost QB Johnny Manziel (175 pass yards, 0 TD, 2 INT) early in the game and Brian Hoyer (3,326 pass yards, 12 TD, 13 INT) came in. Hoyer threw for 134 yards with a touchdown and one interception. He will get the start on Sunday if healthy enough to give it a go. If not, South Carolina product QB Connor Shaw will make his NFL debut. TE Jordan Cameron (21 rec, 383 yards, 2 TD) caught three passes for 88 yards and a touchdown last week's loss, as Hoyer connected with Cameron on an 81-yard touchdown to give the Browns a 13-10 lead early in the fourth quarter. WR Josh Gordon (24 rec, 303 yards) was held to just four catches for 45 yards in the game. Whoever is under center for Cleveland will need to do a much better job of getting Gordon the ball. He should be seeing double-digit targets, as he is an elite talent that can make any offense better. RB Isaiah Crowell (601 rush yards, 8 TD) will need to run the ball more effectively if this team is going to beat Baltimore. Crowell has rushed for just 72 yards on 23 carries over the past two weeks, but the Ravens defense ranks fourth in the NFL in both rushing yards allowed (86.9 per game) and yards per carry allowed (3.6).

The Ravens are coming off of a brutal defeat, losing 25-13 against a Case Keenum-led Texans team on Sunday. They must now beat the Browns in order to keep their playoff chances alive and it won’t be easy against a division rival. QB Joe Flacco (3,674 pass yards, 25 TD, 12 INT) really struggled in the game, throwing for 195 yards with two touchdowns and three interceptions. In a win over the Browns earlier in the season, he threw for just 217 yards with 1 TD and 1 INT. He’ll need to take care of the football in this game if he is going to give his team a chance of playing postseason football. RB Justin Forsett (1,147 yards, 8 TD) will also need to be a lot better than he was last week if the Ravens are going to win this game. Forsett rushed for only 19 yards on 10 carries and caught four passes for 13 yards as well. Baltimore will certainly try to pound the rock, as this Browns defense is allowing an NFL-worst 142.4 rushing yards per game. The Ravens rushed for 160 yards and a touchdown as a whole in the last meeting between these teams and they will look to spark that success once again on Sunday.


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