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Surging Stanford visits Washington on Wednesday
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Published: 1/28/2015  at  3:12:00 AM
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STANFORD CARDINAL (14-5)

at WASHINGTON HUSKIES (14-5)

Alaska Airlines Arena - Seattle, WA
Tip-off: Wednesday, 11:00 p.m. ET
Line: Stanford -1.5

Stanford looks for its fifth win in six games on Wednesday night when it travels to Seattle to take on Washington.

The Cardinal (10-8-1 ATS, 11-8 OVER) have played some very difficult teams this season, as they faced double-digit favorites Duke and Texas in the non-conference season (defeating the Longhorns 74-71 in Austin in overtime), and had No. 7 Arizona on the ropes six days ago before losing 89-82. Stanford went 4-5 on the road in Pac-12 play last season, and is currently 2-1 on the road to start conference play. While the club is 8-6-1 ATS (57%) as a favorite this season, it is just 1-3 ATS when favored away from home. Washington started off 11-0 this season, but then suffered a four-game losing skid. After three straight wins to combat those defeats, the club was trounced 77-56 at Utah on Sunday. The Huskies (9-9 ATS, 10-8 UNDER) were very good at home last season, going 7-2 in Pac 12 play. The team is 2-1 at home this year, but has a puzzling loss to 11.5-point underdog Washington State on the resume. Stanford and Washington played twice last season, with the home team winning both matchups. In the game in Seattle, the Huskies came back from a seven-point deficit to win the game by four points. The two teams have already played once this season, with Stanford escaping with a 68-60 victory in overtime on Jan. 4. The big omission from this game is Washington C Robert Upshaw, the nation's leader in blocked shots, who was dismissed from the team on Monday for a violation of team rules.

Can Stanford finish the season sweep of Washington on Wednesday? For the latest college basketball picks, check out The Platinum Sheet for all the StatFox Experts selections every week throughout the entire 2013-14 season. The experts have been heating up since Dec. 23, combining for a 59% ATS mark (76-54) in college basketball Best Bets. StatFox Gary is a stellar 69% ATS (18-8) during this timeframe to improve to 64% ATS (36-20) for the season. StatFox Brian is 64% ATS (14-8) in Best Bets since Dec. 28 to put him at 55% ATS (31-25) this season, while StatFox Zach is on a 61% ATS (11-7) Best Bets run since Jan. 1 and has a solid 55% ATS mark (31-25) this season. StatFox Dave is heating up with a 64% ATS (7-4) mark in Best Bets since Jan. 13, and StatFox Scott is a strong 62% ATS (16-10) in Best Bets since Dec. 23.

The Cardinal have been very good on offense this season, scoring 74.4 PPG on 44.9% FG and a phenomenal 40.9% threes (9th in nation through Monday). The Stanford defense has been average this season with allowing 65.3 PPG on 41.7% FG, but also surrenders 36.6% threes. For the Cardinal, everything starts with the play of SG Chasson Randle (20.2 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 2.7 APG, 39% threes). He is an elite shot-maker who can score the ball in many different ways. He can be a little inconsistent with his shot (43% FG), but when he is on, he can be nearly impossible to stop. His ability to get to the line may be his biggest strength, and he shoots 90% from the charity stripe. Randle has scored more than 20 points in four straight games (23.8 PPG) and had 24 points in the first matchup between these two teams, but needed 21 shots (9-of-21 FG, 1-of-7 threes) to get his points. SF Anthony Brown (15.8 PPG, 7.3 RPG, 47% threes) is a very difficult matchup for opponents because he can also score from anywhere on the floor. The Cardinal do a nice job of putting him on the block if he is being guarded by a smaller player. Brown's versatility makes things much easier for Stanford on the offensive end of the court, and his 16 points versus Washington on Jan. 4 started a string of seven straight games with 16+ points (19.0 PPG). C Stefan Nastic (14.0 PPG, 7.1 RPG, 1.2 BPG) showed during the NCAA Tournament last year that he can be a great player on the offensive end, as he scored in double-figures in all three games. He is a big body who can bang down low, but he can also step away from the basket and hit the jumper. He had a double-double of 10 points and 11 rebounds plus four steals on Jan. 4 versus the Huskies, but he made only 4-of-15 FG. When the big three of Stanford are all playing well, the Cardinal have the ability to compete with any team in the Pac-12.

Washington is a solid defensive club that allows 62.1 PPG on 36.5% FG and 32.0% threes, going 8-0 SU this season when allowing less than 60 points. While the team manages a meager 4.9 steals per game, it does block 6.7 shots per game (5th in NCAA through Monday). The offense has been more of a struggle, as the Huskies score a pedestrian 69.0 PPG on 44.2% FG and 31.9% threes. While the unit has struggled at times scoring the ball, there are some very talented players on the team. PG Nigel Williams-Goss (14.3 PPG, 6.2 APG, 4.7 RPG) is one of the more complete guards in the Pac-12, as he also averages 1.4 SPG. His one weakness is the ability to hit the three-point shot, where he shoots only 20% (11-of-54) this season. SG Andrew Andrews (12.9 PPG, 4.1 RPG and 2.1 APG) is the team's best long-range shooter (37% threes), but he is very inconsistent. In Sunday's loss to Utah, he made 5-of-6 threes, but he went just 3-of-12 FG (1-of-5 threes) in the previous game. When he is on from the outside, it allows the Huskies to have the space to attack the rim. Seven-foot C Robert Upshaw (10.9 PPG, 8.2 RPG and NCAA-best 4.4 BPG) has been dismissed from the program. He is going to be a big loss for this team, as he was one of the main reasons the Huskies have been so tough defensively. In the first game against Stanford, he had four blocks, and against a team that likes to get to the rim, that absence will make things a lot easier for the Cardinal.


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