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Struggling Suns host Wizards on Wednesday
By: Zach Cohen - StatFox
Published: 1/28/2015  at  9:26:00 AM
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WASHINGTON WIZARDS (31-15)

at PHOENIX SUNS (26-20)

Tip-off: Wednesday, 10:35 p.m. ET
Line: Phoenix -6.5, Total: 211

The Suns look to end a two-game losing skid Wednesday with a big home victory over the Wizards.

The Wizards trailed the Lakers by 11 heading into the second half of Tuesday night’s game and ended up winning 98-92 as 8.5-point favorites. Washington has now won two straight games, but is 0-4 ATS in its past four contests. The Wizards turned the ball over 16 times against Los Angeles and they are now averaging 16.5 turnovers per game over their past two games. That will need to change against a Suns team that scores 107.4 PPG (3rd in NBA) and 19.1 PPG off turnovers (also 3rd in league). Phoenix has struggled recently, losing two straight games SU and a third straight ATS in a 120-100 loss as a 2-point home underdog against the Clippers. The Suns’ defense has been putrid over the past three contests, allowing 115.3 PPG in that span. These teams met in Washington earlier on Dec. 21 and the Suns beat the Wizards 104-92 as 6-point road underdogs. The Suns have won-and-covered in two straight in this series, but Washington has won-and-covered in its past two trips to US Airways Center. Prior to those road victories for the Wizards, the Suns had won five in a row SU at home against Washington and they covered in four of those contests. Three straight meetings between these teams in Phoenix have gone Under the total. Over the past three seasons, the Wizards are 44-21 ATS revenging a loss where their opponent scored 100+ points. The Suns, however, are 10-4 ATS after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games over the past three seasons. SF Paul Pierce (toe) and PF Martell Webster (knee) are both listed as questionable for the Wizards in this one, while Phoenix is injury-free.

Can the Suns win comfortably against a quality opponent on Wednesday? For the answer, connect to The Platinum Sheet for all the Expert picks throughout the entire 2014-15 season. StatFox Forecaster has a strong 56% ATS record (117-93-1) in featured games this season. In terms of Best Bets, the experts have a huge 60% ATS (56-37) record since Jan. 2, led by StatFox Gary, who is a sizzling 68% ATS (13-6) in NBA Best Bets since Jan. 1, and 58% ATS (38-28) this season. StatFox Scott is also red-hot with a 68% ATS (17-8) mark in Best Bets since Dec. 21, improving his record to 55% ATS (36-29) for the season. StatFox Brian is 59% ATS (26-18) in Best Bets since Nov. 29, and is now 55% ATS (36-30) in season Best Bets, while StatFox Zach is 58% ATS (11-8) in NBA Best Bets since Jan. 2.

The Wizards overcame a big deficit to beat the Lakers on Tuesday night and they will now look to end their four-game road trip with three straight victories. PG John Wall (17.3 PPG, 10.2 APG, 4.3 RPG, 2.1 SPG) was dealing with a sore left Achilles against the Lakers on Tuesday, but he still finished the game with 21 points (8-of-12 FG), 13 assists, nine rebounds and three steals in 36 minutes of action. Wall looked great in the game, but there is a slight chance the team opts to give him some rest on the second night of Washington’s back-to-back. The point guard struggled in the last meeting with Phoenix on Dec. 21, finishing with just 14 points (5-of-15 FG) and eight assists in 38 minutes of action. If Wall does play, he’ll need to be a lot more efficient shooting the ball, and will have his work cut out for him going against the three-headed monster at point guard for the Suns. SG Bradley Beal (14.9 PPG, 3.8 RPG, 3.3 APG) had 19 points and four rebounds in the win over the Lakers on Tuesday. Beal had just 14 points in a loss to Phoenix in December and he also got himself into foul trouble in that game. He’ll need to be disciplined in this one, as he’ll need to really rise to the occasion with Wall playing at less than 100 percent or even not playing at all. C Marcin Gortat (11.9 PPG, 8.2 RPG, 1.3 BPG) has not been a big part of the offense recently, averaging just 7.3 PPG over the past three contests. The Wizards will need to start getting him some more touches inside, as he makes things a lot easier on their guards when he is scoring. SF Otto Porter Jr. (5.3 PPG, 2.9 RPG) slid into the starting lineup for an injured SF Paul Pierce (12.8 PPG, 4.5 RPG) on Tuesday and finished with 12 points and four rebounds in 30 minutes of action. Porter more than held his own in the game, and his solid play could allow Pierce to sit out another game and get himself back to 100 percent before the Wizards head home for a matchup with the Raptors on Saturday.

The Suns have lost two straight games and their defense has been miserable as of late. Phoenix allows 105.3 PPG (28th in NBA) on the season, but the club has surrendered 113+ points in each of its past three contests. They’ll need to be a lot better on that end of the floor against Washington on Wednesday or they could lose a third straight game, which would be brutal due to the tight race for the eighth seed in the Western Conference. PG Eric Bledsoe (16.9 PPG, 6.0 APG, 5.3 RPG, 1.6 SPG) had 17 points and seven assists against the Clippers on Sunday, but he did turn the ball over four times and also got himself into foul trouble. He’ll need to limit his mistakes against John Wall in this game and the Suns will need him to tire Wall out on the defensive end by taking the ball to the basket. Bledsoe had 17 points and nine assists the last time these teams met and he should be even better in this one, as he’s been on fire recently with 21.6 PPG, 6.2 APG, 5.6 RPG over the past five games. SG Goran Dragic (16.5 PPG, 4.1 APG, 3.6 RPG) has been awful in the Suns’ past two games, averaging just 6.0 PPG and 5.0 APG in those contests. Dragic had 16 points, six rebounds and four assists in the first meeting with the Wizards, and he will need to be on his game in this one. His speed can give Bradley Beal a lot of problems on both ends of the floor, so Dragic will need to keep his head high after some lousy performances. PG Isaiah Thomas (15.4 PPG, 3.7 APG) has been outstanding off the bench for this team recently. He has scored at least 22 points in each of the past four games, but he had only 10 when the Suns faced the Wizards in December. If Thomas can get hot in this one, the Wizards will stand little to no chance on the road. PF Markieff Morris (15.3 PPG, 5.7 RPG) has been inconsistent recently, scoring less than 10 points in two of the past three games. Phoenix needs Morris to be mentally prepared every given night and not just when he feels like it. He can be a huge X-factor in this game if he is scoring the ball efficiently.


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