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Undefeated Panthers host surging Eagles Sunday
By: Staff Writer - StatFox
Published: 10/25/2015  at  8:10:00 AM
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PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (3-3)
at CAROLINA PANTHERS (5-0)

Kickoff: Sunday, 8:30 p.m. ET
Line: Carolina -3, Total: 46

It will be a strength-on-strength matchup in Charlotte, NC on Sunday when the Eagles and their improved rush defense try to slow down the white-hot ground game of Cam Newton and the Panthers.

Here is the BetDSI Sportsbook betting preview for this matchup:

Carolina (5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS) rallied from a 13-point, second-half deficit and scored two touchdowns in less than four minutes late in the fourth quarter last Sunday in Seattle for a stunning 27-23 victory over the two-time defending NFC Champion Seahawks. The next night, Philadelphia (3-3 SU and ATS), despite committing four turnovers, overpowered the Giants with 425 total yards of offense en route to a 27-7 victory to join New York atop the NFC East. One potential key for the Eagles will be to hold the Panthers as far under their current season averages of 24.0 PPG and 132 rushing YPG as possible, as Philly is 31-16 ATS in road games when allowing 15 to 21 points since 1992, and 28-58 ATS over that same timeframe when surrendering at least 150 rushing yards. Some other possible historical trends to consider for this game involve head coaches Ron Rivera and Chip Kelly. Rivera has ATS wins in 24 of his past 31 games following a road game, including 14 of the past 17 contests. Meanwhile, Chip Kelly is 2-9 ATS after two or more consecutive victories as Eagles head coach. Philadelphia is 6-3 (SU and ATS) all-time against Carolina, including a 45-21 shellacking in the most recent matchup last November. The Panthers hope to return DE Jared Allen (back) and LB A.J. Klein (concussion), the team’s 2nd leading tackler, both of whom missed last week’s game. Meanwhile, the Eagles have battled key injuries all season, especially on the defensive side of the ball, where both LBs Kiko Alonso and Mychal Kendricks have not played since Week 2.

Can the Eagles knock the Panthers from the unbeaten ranks on Sunday? For the answer, connect to NFL Best Bets for all the StatFox Experts picks throughout the 2015 regular season and playoffs. This season, the experts have a collective 60% ATS record (52-35-2) in NFL Best Bets, including an 86% ATS success rate (12-2-1) in Week 6. StatFox Dave is leading the charge at 71% ATS (17-7) this season, while StatFox Brian is 59% ATS (13-9-1) and StatFox Gary is 55% ATS (11-9-1). StatFox Scott continues to thrive in NFL Totals this season at 65% (13-7).

The Panthers rushing offense is currently third in the league with 133 YPG on 4.0 YPC, and are 57-17 ATS when rushing for 125 or more yards since their inaugural 1995 campaign, including 3-0 this season. Despite their rushing proficiency, the Panthers’ 30th-ranked passing offense (201.4 YPG) has left them with the 5th-worst total offense in the league. QB Cam Newton will be facing the Eagles for the third time in his career (1-1 SU and ATS), and while he did throw on them for 306 yards and 2 TD last year, he also tossed three interceptions. TE Greg Olsen caught six passes for 119 yards (19.8 avg) in the loss at Philadelphia last year, and has racked up 17 catches for 293 yards and 3 TD over the past three games. Carolina's +6 turnover margin is tied for 1st in the league and has helped the defense offset some of the issues with the offense; The Panthers are also tied for third in interceptions, while the Eagles are tied for third in interceptions thrown.

Philadelphia enters with the league's 8th-best rush defense (94.2 YPG allowed), and on a per-attempt scale, the Eagles are tied for 2nd in the league, allowing just 3.5 YPC. A key for defensive coordinator Bill Davis’ front seven on Sunday will be to remain fresh, as his unit has been on the field more than 34 minutes a game this season, or 57% of the time. The Eagles’ pass defense showed signs of life Monday night, allowing just 166 yards after consecutive weeks of surrendering more than 290 through the air. Philly’s offense has found its groove over the past three weeks, averaging 136 more total YPG than the first three weeks of the season. The team is led by a rushing attack that has broken 85 yards each of the past three weeks after failing to break 70 yards total over the first two games of the season. Carolina has given up more than 100 rushing yards in back-to-back games after not allowing any of its first three opponents to gain 100 yards on the ground. QB Sam Bradford has also played well in his past two games (603 passing yards, 5 TD, 2 INT), and he is also 1-1 (SU and ATS) versus Carolina in his career with 223 passing YPG, 3 TD and 1 INT.


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