McLane Stadium - Waco, TX
Kickoff: Saturday, 8:00 p.m. ET
Line: Baylor -2.5, Total: 76

No. 6 Baylor will face its toughest test of the season on Saturday night when it hosts No. 12 Oklahoma.

Since a shocking loss to Texas on Oct. 10, the Sooners have rolled over four straight opponents by a combined score of 232 to 50. The Bears have been blowing out opponents all season with a 32.4 PPG scoring margin, but have suffered two straight ATS defeats to Iowa State (won by 18, but favored by 36) and Kansas State (won by 7, favored by 17). Oklahoma has dominated this series historically with a 16-3 SU record since 1996, but Baylor is 11-8 ATS in this timeframe, and the three SU wins have come in the past four years. When these schools last played in Waco in 2013, the Bears won 41-12 and scored an even more lopsided win in Norman last year when they crushed the Sooners 48-14. There are plenty of positive betting trends for both schools in this game, as Oklahoma is 58-37 ATS after finishing Over the total under head coach Bob Stoops and 9-2 ATS after outgaining an opponent by 125+ total yards in the past two seasons. Meanwhile, Baylor is 13-4 ATS with a 38.2 PPG margin as a home favorite in the past three years and 13-2 ATS at home in anticipated shootouts (Total of 70+ points) under head coach Art Briles. The injury list isn't very extensive with the Sooners listing two players as questionable with undisclosed injuries -- DB Zack Sanchez and OL Jonathan Alvarez -- and the Bears having three injured players in DB Alfred Pullom (undisclosed) and DL Byron Bonds (knee) both doubtful and DB Chance Waz (neck) questionable.

Which team will win this high-octane Big 12 showdown? For the answer, connect to College Football Best Bets for all the StatFox Experts picks throughout the 2015 regular season and bowl season. The experts were a combined 54% ATS in Best Bets last week (14-12-1) led by StatFox Dave's impressive 80% clip (4-1).

Oklahoma's 59.0 PPG and 670 total YPG in the past three contests gives the team 46.3 PPG and 549 total YPG this season. While the Sooners are known for airing out the football with 338 YPG on 10.1 YPA, they have also run over opponents with 211 rushing YPG on 4.9 YPC. Sophomore RB Samaje Perine (806 rush yds, 5.8 YPC, 10 TD) has not enjoyed the same success as he did last year (1,713 rush yds, 6.5 YPC, 21 TD), but he is heating up with at least 90 rushing yards in three straight games where he has found the end zone seven times. Last year against the Bears, he carried the ball only five times for 21 yards, when his team abandoned the run in catch-up mode, but Perine will likely be a much bigger factor on Saturday. Junior QB Baker Mayfield is in the midst of a monster season, throwing for 2,812 yards (10.2 YPA) on 70% completions with 28 TD and only 4 INT. During his team's four-game win streak, Mayfield has thrown 14 touchdowns with just one pick, and he will need to have another huge afternoon to keep his team in the game. Top WR Sterling Shepard (826 rec yds, 7 TD) has exploded for 277 yards on 15 catches (18.5 avg) and 2 TD over the past two weeks, and will once again be Mayfield's favorite target. The offense sometimes overshadows the Oklahoma defense, but this is an excellent unit that allows only 18.1 PPG and 328 total YPG. These numbers are even greater against the high-octane Big 12 offenses (16.3 PPG, 312 total YPG), including a mere 13.7 PPG allowed on 237 total YPG over the past three contests. The passing defense has been particularly excellent in holding opposing quarterbacks to a 52% completion rate, 179 YPG and 5.3 YPA, while the run defense gives up 150 YPG, but only just 3.5 YPC. Oklahoma defenders also have a nose for the football with 10 takeaways in the past four weeks, but the Bears have one turnover or less in six of eight contests this season.

Baylor has arguably the most explosive offense in the nation with 57.4 PPG on 666 total YPG (8.4 yards per play). The numbers don't fall off much in Big 12 action (53.4 PPG on 605 YPG) and the club has 60.7 PPG in four home games. Offensive balance is key for this fast-paced attack, and the Bears have rushed for a beefy 309 YPG on 6.6 YPC while throwing for 357 YPG on 10.9 YPA. Injured QB Seth Russell's numbers aren't easily duplicated (10.5 YPA, 29 TD, 6 INT), but freshman backup QB Jarrett Stidham has actually been even better than Russell this season with 12.3 YPA, 9 TD and 0 INT. It certainly helps to have the services of superstar WR Corey Coleman, who has caught 58 passes for 1,178 yards (20.3 avg) and 20 touchdowns this season. Coleman was the best player on the field in Norman last season when he racked up 224 yards on 15 receptions (14.9 avg) and a touchdown. The other offensive star for the Bears is junior RB Shock Linwood (1,046 rush yds, 7.8 YPC, 9 TD), who has rushed for 130+ yards in five of the past seven games. Linwood did not find much running room against Oklahoma last year with a pedestrian 87 yards on 23 carries (3.8 YPC), but he did score a pair of touchdowns. The Bears defense has performed pretty well in allowing only 25.0 PPG and 388 total YPG (5.0 yards per play), especially considering the unit has been on the field for an average of 34:28. Opponents are running for only 165 YPG on 3.7 YPC while the passing defense is allowing 224 YPG on 6.7 YPA. Baylor has also been great in forcing turnovers with at least two takeaways in seven of eight games, and totaling 21 for the season.