Lincoln Financial Field - Philadelphia, PA
Kickoff: Saturday, 3:00 p.m. ET
Line: Navy -22.5, Total: 53

Army tries to snap a long losing skid to rival Navy when the two schools meet Saturday in Philadelphia.

The Black Knights (4-6-1 ATS) have lost 13 straight meetings to the Midshipmen, but have ATS wins in three of the past four matchups, which have been decided by slim margins of six, four and seven points. Navy was able to secure a 17-10 victory last year with a 33:02 time of possession and a slightly more potent ground game (205 to 198 rushing advantage). Army has had a rough season with four straight losses (0-3-1 ATS), but three of those defeats have been by 10 points or less. The Midshipmen (8-3 ATS) have fallen just twice all season but one of those losses was a 52-31 blowout at Houston on Nov. 27, which kept them from playing for last week's American Athletic Conference crown. The betting trends for Saturday are overwhelmingly in favor of Navy to win and cover the monster spread, as the school is 18-4 ATS (82%) versus terrible teams (25% or worse win pct.) since 1992. Also, college football favorites of 21.5 to 31 points with an excellent offense (6.1 yards per play) after gaining 6.75+ yards per play in two straight games are 56-24 ATS (70%) over the past 10 seasons. But bettors expecting this game to be within 20 points can look at Midshipmen head coach Ken Niumatalolo's 10-19 ATS record (35%) when facing a team with a losing record. Both schools are coming off a bye week, and the only recent injury for either team is Navy OT Blake Copeland, who is questionable for Saturday with a foot ailment.

Will Navy extend its series win streak in dominating fashion over Army? For the answer, connect to College Football Best Bets for all the StatFox Experts picks throughout the 2015 regular season and bowl season. The experts enter bowl season on a roll with a combined 59.3% ATS (52-39) Best Bets record over the past three weeks, highlighted by StatFox Scott's 66% ATS mark (19-10). StatFox Brian is 58% ATS (11-8) and StatFox Dave has a 55% ATS (12-10) record during this timeframe.

Army loves to run the football with 52 rushing attempts per game this season, which translates into 254 rushing YPG on 4.9 YPC. The ground game has been even more incredible on the road where it averages an even 300 YPG on 5.8 YPC. The Black Knights throw the football only eight times per game, but despite a woeful 44% completion rate, they gain a hefty 10.2 YPA. Junior RB Aaron Kemper leads the team with 506 rushing yards (5.4 YPC) and has a pair of 125-yard efforts this year. Last week, he gained 59 yards on 11 carries (5.4 YPC) and a touchdown. But the team's main ball carrier is QB Ahmad Bradshaw, who has a team-high 130 rushing attempts along with five rushing touchdowns. He will be expected to move the chains and give his team even more yards on the ground than last year's 198 yards (4.4 YPC) versus Navy. If the Knights are forced to pass, junior WR Edgar Poe (320 rec yds, 5 TD) is a speed burner who stretches the field with an outstanding 29.1 yards-per-catch average. He needed just two grabs to gain 95 yards last game versus Rutgers. The Army defense is average, as it allows 28.5 PPG on 383 total YPG. Despite being on the field for only 27:38 per game, the Knights still allow 163 rushing YPG (4.5 YPC) and 220 passing YPG (8.3 YPA). This unit doesn't force many turnovers either with just four takeaways in the past seven games, and is facing an opponent with just three combined giveaways over the past six contests.

Navy is also a run-first offense with 58 rushing attempts per game and only eight passing attempts per contest. The ground game chews up an average of 32:38 on the clock with 20.9 first downs per contest. Overall, the rushing attack gains 330 YPG on 5.7 YPC, and much of that success is due to the play of QB Keenan Reynolds. The senior has rushed for 83 touchdowns in his brilliant career, which includes 19 this season. This is also his third straight 1,000-yard campaign where he has 1,093 rushing yards on a career-best 5.0 YPC. Reynolds didn't have a great performance against Army last year with 100 rushing yards on 26 attempts (3.8 YPC) but he did both rush for a touchdown and pass for a touchdown during the 17-10 win. Reynolds has also thrown for a career-best 11.5 YPA this season with 6 TD and only one interception. The other two offensive stars for the Midshipmen are FB Chris Swain (847 rush yds, 5.0 YPC, 10 TD) and WR Jamir Tillman (468 rec yds, 21.3 avg, 4 TD). The senior Swain has compiled four 100-yard performances, but has been held to 52 rushing YPG in the past three weeks. The junior Tillman is coming off a career-high 162 receiving yards at Houston last game, and has averaged an amazing 39.0 yards per catch over his past three contests (7 receptions, 273 yards). The Midshipmen defense has been pretty tough this season in limiting opponents to 21.7 PPG and 370 total YPG, but those numbers are much worse on the road (30.4 PPG, 427 total YPG). The run-stop unit is especially stingy in holding teams to 139 YPG on 3.9 YPC while the pass defense struggles at times in allowing a 66% completion rate, 231 passing YPG and 7.3 YPA. Navy did not force a turnover last game, but does have 21 takeaways this year and is playing a team with multiple turnovers in six games this season.