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No. 22 Indiana visits Michigan Tuesday
By: Brian Graham - StatFox
Published: 2/2/2016  at  5:23:00 AM
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INDIANA HOOSIERS (18-4, 8-1 Big Ten)

at MICHIGAN WOLVERINES (17-5, 7-2 Big Ten)

Crisler Center - Ann Arbor, MI
Tip-off: Tuesday, 9:00 p.m. ET
Line: Michigan -2, Total: 148

Two of the top-four teams in the Big Ten standings will collide on Tuesday night when No. 22 Indiana visits Michigan.

The Hoosiers (11-11 ATS overall) have won 13 of their past 14 games with the lone loss coming one week ago at Wisconsin, which dropped the team to 2-7 ATS away from home this season. The Wolverines are also red-hot with four straight SU wins, but are 1-4 ATS in the past five contests since upsetting Maryland (currently ranked No. 4 in nation) on Jan. 12. However, they are a near-perfect 11-1 SU at Crisler Center this season with a strong 6-4 ATS record at home. These schools met only once last season, a 70-67 Indiana home win where both teams shot at least 49% FG, 41% threes and 75% FT. The last meeting in Ann Arbor on March 8, 2014 was also close, as Michigan prevailed 84-80. That was the only time in the past five meetings where the Hoosiers have lost. There are plenty of reasons for bettors to take either side on Tuesday, as Indiana is 14-3 ATS versus very good teams (8+ PPG margin) after 15+ games in the past three seasons, while its opponent is just 3-12 ATS in this same three-year timeframe versus dominant rebounding clubs (7+ RPG margin). On the other hand, the Wolverines are 8-1 ATS versus great offensive teams (77+ PPG) in the past three seasons, and 34-16 ATS versus good three-point shooting teams (37%+ threes) under head coach John Beilein. There are no new injuries since the Hoosiers lost star G James Blackmon Jr. (15.8 PPG) to a season-ending knee injury last month, and Michigan do-it-all leader G Caris LeVert (17.6 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 5.2 APG) remains out indefinitely with a lower left leg injury.

Which school will pick up the big conference win on Tuesday night? For the answer, connect to The Platinum Sheet for all the StatFox Experts Best Bets throughout the season. The experts are coming off two big weeks at 60% ATS (30-20), led by StatFox Dave and StatFox Zach both going 7-3 ATS. StatFox Brian had his seventh straight week of at least 60% ATS, giving him a stellar 69% ATS record (24-11) in this seven-week timeframe. StatFox Gary is also hot, going 60% ATS (15-10) over the past five weeks.

Indiana can put up points in bunches with 85.2 PPG (6th in D-I) on 51.7% FG (2nd in nation) and 43.2% threes (3rd in D-I). The team makes 10.0 threes per game this season (11th in nation) and shoots a solid 71.8% FT (94th in D-I). The Hoosiers are an excellent rebounding team with a +8.2 RPG margin (19th in nation), but they commit way too many turnovers (14.6 TOPG, 311th in D-I). But the defense has been able to force nearly that many miscues (14.2 TOPG, best in Big Ten) by racking up 7.4 steals per game (also tops in Big Ten). Despite a strong 4.3 blocks per game (87th in D-I), opponents are still scoring 68.5 PPG (109th in nation) on 43.4% FG (186th in D-I) and 33.3% threes (122nd in nation). PG Yogi Ferrell (17.5 PPG, 5.7 APG, 4.3 RPG, 1.2 SPG) is clearly the engine of this offense with a sparkling 2.1 Ast/TO ratio in his nearly 34 minutes per game. Ferrell has been on fire in Big Ten play with 19.3 PPG and 55% threes, and had a well-rounded 18 points, six assists and four rebounds in the win versus Michigan last season. Another Hoosiers player that has really stepped up recently is freshman C Thomas Bryant (12.4 PPG, 5.5 RPG, 1.2 BPG), who leads the nation with a 73% FG clip (107-for-147). In Saturday's win over Minnesota, Bryant poured in a career-high 23 points on 11-of-13 shooting, while adding eight boards. Two other Indiana players are also averaging double-figure scoring this season, injured G James Blackmon Jr. (15.8 PPG, 4.2 RPG) and junior F Troy Williams (13.1 PPG, 6.5 RPG, 1.2 SPG). Williams has put up 14.5 PPG in the past four games and was the star of the matchup with the Wolverines last year when he dropped 20 points (6-of-9 FG, 8-for-8 FT) with eight rebounds, three assists and two steals.

Like Indiana, Michigan also knows how to light up the scoreboard with 77.4 PPG (93rd in nation) on a blistering 48.6% FG (17th in D-I) and 41.2% threes (8th in nation). These numbers climb to 79.9 PPG, 50.3% FG and 42.9% threes at home. The Wolverines love shooting from long range with 10.6 made threes per game (6th in D-I), and also know how to protect the basketball with a mere 9.8 turnovers per game (6th in nation) and a stellar 1.63 Ast/TO ratio (also 6th in D-I). The defense is also top-notch, holding opponents to 64.4 PPG despite allowing a pedestrian 42.4% FG (129th in nation) and 33.5% threes (133rd in D-I). During the club's four-game win streak, opponents have made only 26% threes. Michigan doesn't record many steals (5.7 SPG, 232nd in nation) or blocks (2.5 BPG, 285th in D-I), but it also plays clean with a paltry 15.5 personal fouls per game (5th-fewest in nation). Rebounding could be a problem on Tuesday though, as the Wolverines hold a slim +1.2 RPG margin (160th in D-I). With leading scorer, G Caris LeVert (17.6 PPG), still out with a leg injury, three players have picked up the slack in replacing LeVert's points. Sophomore G Duncan Robinson (12.5 PPG, 2.9 RPG) is shooting an impressive 50% threes (72-of-145), 49% FG and 96% FT (26-of-27) this season, and has scored at least eight points in 18 straight games. Junior G Derrick Walton Jr. (11.9 PPG, 5.9 RPG, 4.0 APG, 1.5 SPG) is shooting a career-best 45% threes and has been outstanding over the past five contests with 16.8 PPG, 7.0 RPG and 4.8 APG. He produced 13 points, 10 rebounds, seven assists and three steals in Saturday's win over Penn State. Junior F/G Zak Irvin (10.6 PPG, 4.3 RPG, 3.4 APG) has also been red-hot with 14.7 PPG over the past six games, including 20 points on Saturday. In last year's loss to Indiana, in which both LeVert and Walton didn't play because of injuries, Irvin kept his team in the game with 23 points (9-of-16 FG) and three steals.


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