StatFox.com - Sports Handicapping Community

The Leader In Sports Handicapping

Fort Worth hosts AAA Texas 500 on Sunday
By: Zach Cohen - StatFox
Published: 11/3/2016  at  5:54:00 AM
  Print This Article    

NASCAR Sprint Cup Series
AAA Texas 500

Sunday, Nov. 6th – 2:00 p.m. EDT
Texas Motor Speedway – Fort Worth, TX

Odds to Win Race

(For the latest Odds, connect to Sportsbook.ag)

Jimmie Johnson will be looking for his fifth straight AAA Texas 500 victory in Sunday’s Round of 8 event. Johnson is currently in first place in the Sprint Cup Series standings, and there’s a good chance that he distances himself a bit more on Sunday. He is the king of Texas Motor Speedway, as he has won each of the past four AAA Texas 500’s and had another win here in 2007. The only other drivers with multiple victories in this race are Carl Edwards and Tony Stewart. Both will be racing on Sunday, but they do not have a chance to do any real damage in the Sprint Cup standings. With Stewart being the last driver to win here that isn’t named “Jimmie Johnson”, a driver behind the wheel of a Chevy has won each of the past five AAA Texas 500s. Hendrick Motorsports, meanwhile, is the best team in this race, but Johnson is still the only one of their drivers to win. With that being said, let’s now take a look at who might win this race this weekend:

Jimmie Johnson (5-to-1) - As previously mentioned, Johnson has been dominant at Texas Motor Speedway in his career. He is coming into this weekend on a four-race winning streak in this event alone, and he also happens to be driving very well recently. Johnson came away with the win at last week’s Goody’s Fast Relief 500 and that gave him two victories in his past four races. He also finished in fourth at the Hollywood Casino 400 three races ago. The fact that Johnson isn’t the favorite to win this one is a crime, and people should jump on him at the 5-to-1 odds he’s receiving. This might be the value of the year and is definitely worth a few units.

Joey Logano (10-to-1) - Logano has two top-five finishes in this race in his career, but he has never won. He does, however, have a victory at Texas Motor Speedway, as he emerged victorious at the Duck Commander 500 in 2014. That result shows that he is capable of winning this one on Sunday, and he is a good person to back at 10-to-1. He might not have as much success as Johnson on this track, but not many do. Logano, however, is still as talented a driver as there is in the Sprint Cup Series and is worth a shot this weekend.

Carl Edwards (12-to-1) - Edwards has been struggling lately, but he still represents a tremendous value heading into the weekend. Edwards might have failed to crack the top-25 in each of the past two races, but he is one of only three drivers to win this race more than once. He also has another win in Texas in his career, as he won the Duck Commander 500 in 2008 (It was known as the Samsung 500 at that time). With his track record at Texas Motor Speedway, Edwards is worth a unit or half-unit with the 12-to-1 odds he is getting.

Ryan Newman (80-to-1) - Newman has not won a Sprint Cup race since 2013, but he’s still worth a shot as a dark horse on Sunday. Newman thrives on 1.5-mile tracks like these and he is also a guy that always puts himself within striking distance of winning races. Newman has finished inside the top 20 in seven straight races and nine of the past 10. If a couple of things break right for him then he just might help you get an 80-to-1 pay day. He’s worth throwing a unit or half-unit on for that reason.


FoxSheets.com
The FoxSheets - the most advanced sports handicapping information available on the internet.
Sign up for professional sports betting information including fantastic trends, and Free FoxSheets.
E-mail: