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Giants host rival Cowboys on Sunday night
By: Sam Chase - StatFox
Published: 12/10/2016  at  5:25:00 PM
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DALLAS COWBOYS (11-1)
at NEW YORK GIANTS (8-4)

MetLife Stadium – East Rutherford, NJ
Kickoff: Sunday, 8:30 p.m. ET
Line: Dallas -3, Total: 47.5

The Cowboys will look to avenge their one loss of the season on Sunday night in the Meadowlands.

The Cowboys got yet another win last Thursday night, holding off the Vikings in Minnesota 17-15 (MIN +3) to improve to 11-1 on the season (9-3 ATS). Dallas became the first team in the league to clinch a playoff berth, and they have a 2.5-game lead for the No. 1 seed in the NFC. The win over the Vikings was their 11th straight, and it was the closest margin of victory they’ve experienced in that stretch. They won despite being outgained 318 yards to 264 and committing two turnovers to Minnesota’s one turnover. They’ll try for their 12th straight this Sunday night against the one team that has beaten them this season, the 8-4 New York Giants (6-6 ATS). The Giants were on a win streak of their own on Sunday, but left Pittsburgh with a 24-14 loss (PIT -6.5) to lose for the first time in seven games. The score doesn’t quite convey the degree to which the Giants were dominated, as the Steelers outgained them 389 yards to 234. Only after a touchdown with less than a minute left in the game was New York able to cut the final margin of defeat to 10 points. Over the last 10 seasons, road teams that are outscoring opponents by at least 4.0 points per game on the season that allowed three points or fewer in the first half of their last game (DAL) are 71-33 Over when the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. Giants QB Eli Manning is 17-8 Over in his career against the Cowboys. Giants DE Jason Pierre-Paul is out indefinitely with a groin injury, while Dallas LB Justin Durant is questionable with a hamstring injury.

Through 12 games, Dallas rookie QB Dak Prescott (67.9 CMP%, 2,974 yards, 19 TDs, 2 INTs) may very well be the leader in the NFL MVP race. He’s fifth in the league in completion percentage, second in yards per attempt (8.31) and third in passer rating (108.6). He had one of his most quiet outings of the season against the Vikings, completing 12 of 18 passes for 139 yards and a touchdown. He continued his trend of not throwing interceptions, though, as he and Tom Brady are the NFL’s only quarterbacks to throw at least 19 touchdown passes and no more than two interceptions. His last outing against the Giants was his first career start, a game in which he completed 25 of 45 passes for 227 yards—a season-low 5.06 yards per attempt. His biggest competition for Most Valuable Player might be his own teammate and fellow rookie, RB Ezekiel Elliott (263 carries, 1,285 yards, 12 TDs; 28 catches, 322 yards, TD). He leads the league in carries, rushing yards and is second in rushing touchdowns. Like Prescott, the first game against the Giants this season was the first of his career, and he rushed for only 51 yards (and a touchdown) on 20 carries. He has rushed for over 80 yards in each of the 11 games since then. For receivers, Prescott most often targets a Big Three of WR Cole Beasley (60 catches, 670 yards, 5 TDs), WR Dez Bryant (37 catches, 634 yards, 6 TDs) and TE Jason Witten (52 catches, 553 yards, 2 TDs). Bryant is sixth in the NFL with 17.1 yards per catch. Witten went without a catch against the Vikings, snapping a franchise-record streak of 130 straight games with a reception. Beasley had a season-low 23 yards in the same game. On defense, the Cowboys are 18th in the NFL with 358.5 yards allowed per game. LB Sean Lee is fourth in the league with 112 total tackles.

It has been a frustrating season for QB Eli Manning (63.1 CMP%, 3,097 yards, 22 TDs, 12 INTS) and the Giants offense. Last season, Manning was ranked sixth in the NFL in passing yards, second in touchdown passes and 13th in passer rating. This season, he’s ranked 14th, 10th and 22nd (88.3) in those respective categories. He had an absolute dud of a game against the Steelers this past Sunday, completing 24 of 39 passes for 195 yards two touchdowns and two interceptions. His 5.0 yards per attempt on the day was a season low. His performance against the Cowboys in the season opener was one of his better games of the year, when he completed 19 of 28 passes for 207 yards, three touchdowns and an interception. Much of the media coverage of the Giants this season has been on WR Odell Beckham Jr. (75 catches, 1,015 yards, 8 TDs). Unfortunately for Beckham, so has the coverage of opposing defenses, and being blanketed so closely visibly frustrates him than any other wideout in the league. While he had 10 catches for 100 yards against the Steelers, he has targeted a crazy 16 times and the defense kept him from making any big plays. But he undoubtedly remains one of the best at his position, and he’s fifth in the league in receiving yards. Flanking him at the position are rookie Sterling Shepard (48 catches, 497 yards, 6 TDs) and veteran Victor Cruz (27 catches, 462 yards, TD). The running game has been a problem all year, as the Giants rank second-to-last in the league with 77.5 rushing yards per game. RB Rashad Jennings (121 carries, 414 yards, 2 TDs) is the lead back. His 75 rushing yards in the opener were the third most he’s had in a game this year. He only rushed for 19 yards against the Steelers but did catch a season-high six passes. Defensively, the Giants rank 17th in the league with 356.8 yards allowed per game. DE Olivier Vernon and Pierre-Paul lead the NFL in sacks since Week 9 with 7.0 and 5.5, respectively, in that time frame.


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