BMW Championship

Odds to Win Tournament

The world’s top golfers head to Illinois for yet another FedExCup playoff event, as Conway Farms Golf Club hosts the BMW Championship this weekend. The golfers most recently competed in the Dell Technologies Championship, and that event saw Justin Thomas emerge as the winner. Thomas has now won five tournaments on the season and is sitting in second in the FedExCup rankings. In first place in those rankings is his best friend Jordan Spieth, but Dustin Johnson is lurking closely behind both in third. And Johnson has plenty of reason for optimism this weekend. Last year, the 33-year-old won the BMW Championship for the second time in his career. He shot a 23-under to defeat Paul Casey by three strokes in that one, but this is a different golf course that these guys will be playing on this weekend. And it’s worth noting that the last time Conway Farms Golf Club hosted the BMW Championship, Jason Day shot a 22-under to win the event by six strokes. That was back in 2015 and Day will certainly be hoping to recapture some of that magic here. With that out of the way, let’s now take a look at some of the better value plays for this tournament:

Dustin Johnson (7-to-1) - As previously mentioned, Dustin Johnson won the BMW Championship last year. He shot a 23-under to win that one and it was his second time winning the event. This feels like Johnson’s tournament to win, but for whatever reason he isn’t the favorite. That means you should grab him, as his 7-to-1 odds are extremely enticing. It also helps that Johnson is playing well coming into this one, as Johnson has finished inside the top-20 in each of the past five tournaments. His confidence will be high here.

Jason Day (12-to-1) - Jason Day has had a miserable season, but it’s just hard to imagine him staying down for long. Day is still one of the best golfers in the world and it’d be surprising if he didn’t bounce back in a big way next season. Day could, however, build some momentum by finishing off the season strong and he will almost definitely be a factor in this tournament. Day won this thing in dominant fashion back in 2015 and he also happens to have played a bit better in recent weeks. Day finished inside the top-10 in two of the past three tournaments and represents great value at 12-to-1.

Paul Casey (20-to-1) - Paul Casey has never won the BMW Championship in his career, but he has been a runner-up in two of these events. Those two tournaments were in 2010 and 2016. Neither of those tournaments were at Conway Farms Golf Club, but Casey’s game is a perfect fit for this course and he should be a serious factor on Sunday. It also helps that Casey is going off at 20-to-1 here, as a victory would mean a big payday for his backers.

Kevin Kisner (110-to-1) - Kevin Kisner is one of the more talented players getting odds like these this weekend, so don’t be afraid to put a very small amount on him to win. Kisner has been near the top of the leaderboard on a few occasions this year, as he won the Dean & DeLuca Invitational in May and also came in second at both the Zurich Classic and the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Kisner then held a lead for quite a bit at the PGA Championship, showing he can compete at the top level against some of the world’s best. He’s worth a shot here.