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Packers host rival Bears on Thursday
By: Staff Writer - StatFox
Published: 9/28/2017  at  9:49:00 AM
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Lambeau Field Ė Green Bay, WI
Kickoff: Thursday, 8:25 p.m. ET
Line: Green Bay -7.5, Total: 45.5

The Packers will be hoping to improve to 3-1 with a Thursday Night Football victory over the rival Bears.

Chicago is coming off of a very impressive victory last week, as the team was able to beat Pittsburgh 23-17 as a seven-point home underdog. The Bears rushed for 220 yards in that game, which ended up really being the difference in that one. Theyíll now look to get their offense going against the Packers, but itís going to be hard for them to be too optimistic about this one. Green Bay has dominated this head-to-head series in recent years, going 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in their past seven meetings. The Packers beat the Bears 26-10 as seven-point favorites when the two teams met at Lambeau Field last year. They also happen to be coming into this game with some serious confidence after what happened in Week 3. Green Bay was trailing Cincinnati 21-7 in that game, but the team was able to rally back for a 27-24 victory in overtime. The Packers have now failed to cover the spread in two straight games, but that ATS loss last week is not something to read into too much. One trend that favors the Bears when looking at this game is the fact that head coach John Fox is 9-1 ATS in road games against teams who force 0.75 or fewer turnovers per game on the season since 1992. The Packers are, however, an impressive 30-13 ATS off a non-conference game under head coach Mike McCarthy.

The Bears are coming off of a surprising upset over the Steelers, but itís actually hard to lose when your team rushes for 220 yards. RB Jordan Howard (197 yards, 3 TD) had been off to a rough start this season, but he ripped off 138 yards and two touchdowns in that win over Pittsburgh. He also added five receptions for 26 yards. His backfield mate, Tarik Cohen (157 yards), added 78 yards on the ground and also four catches for 24 yards in the receiving game. Look for both of them to be leaned on heavily in this one, as Chicago does not have a chance unless the team finds some success in the running game. As for the passing game, QB Mike Glennonís (615 yards, 3 TD, 3 INT) job is simple: Donít turn the ball over. Glennon is just a game manager for this Bears team, but the problem is that the talent around him isnít good enough for the team to win many games. Still, the Bears have been competitive thus far and should get up for this meeting with their rivals.

QB Aaron Rodgers (967 yards, 6 TD, 3 INT) was absolutely brilliant in bringing the Packers back from a 21-7 deficit in Week 3. Rodgers threw for 313 yards with three touchdowns and only one pick in that game, and he orchestrated a masterful game-tying drive as well. Rodgers connected with WR Jordy Nelson (13 rec, 131 yards, 3 TD) to tie that one up, and Nelson had six receptions for 52 yards and two touchdowns in that game. Look for him to do more of the same against the Bears, as Rodgers will definitely be looking in his direction often. Itís worth noting that Rodgers has dominated Chicago in his career, as he is 14-4 in 18 games against them. In those contests, Rodgers has thrown for an average of 245.4 yards per game and has a total of 38 touchdowns and only nine picks. Heíll get up for this one as well, as he loves playing primetime games. Another player that should be in for a big game here is RB Ty Montgomery (124 yards, 2 TD). Montgomery has been great in his first full season as a starter, as he has excelled both up the middle as a runner and then out of the backfield as a receiver. When plays break down, Rodgers will do everything he can to spot him on Thursday. Defensively, if the Packers can stop the run then this should be a blowout. Chicago is not capable of picking anybody apart through the air.

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