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Undefeated Duke takes on #14 Miami on Friday
By: Staff Writer - StatFox
Published: 9/25/2017  at  9:40:00 PM
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Wallace Wade Stadium Ė Durham, NC
Kickoff: Friday, 7:00 p.m. ET
Line: Miami -6.5, Total: 56.0

Duke will be hoping to stay perfect with a monumental upset over #14 Miami on Friday.

The Hurricanes have only played two games this season because of the storms that swept through Florida earlier in the season. They have, however, won both of those games, with last weekís 52-30 win as 13.5-point favorites over Toledo being the more impressive of the two. Miami rushed for 254 yards in that game and the team also held Toledo to just 85 rushing yards on 35 attempts. If the Hurricanes can run the ball and defend the run as well then the team should be in for some great things this season. Duke, meanwhile, is a ridiculous 4-0 both SU and ATS this season, and the Blue Devils most recently went into Chapel Hill and defeated the Tar Heels 27-17 as 2.5-point road underdogs. This program has notched some big victories already in 2017, but none would be bigger than a win here. Miami has won-and-covered in three straight games against Duke, but the Blue Devils will just need to point to 2013ís 48-30 home victory over the Hurricanes as inspiration for this one. One trend that favors Miami in this game is the fact that the team is 7-0 ATS after outgaining an opponent by 125 or more total yards in its previous game over the past two seasons. The Hurricanes are, however, a lousy 4-14 ATS after gaining 475 or more total yards in two straight games since 1992.

Miami is coming off of an impressive victory over Toledo last week, but the team will need its defense to be a lot better on Friday. The Hurricanes allowed the Rockets to throw for 344 yards in that victory, and they must be better against the pass here. The Blue Devils like to air it out and will not be able to win if Miamiís passing defense shows up here. On offense, the Hurricanes will be relying on RB Mark Walton (352 yards, 3 TD) to win this game for them. Walton was excellent against Toledo last week, rushing for 204 yards and a touchdown on only 11 carries. He dealt with an injury during the game, but he was able to come back in. The expectation is that he should be ready to go on Friday and he will likely have a huge game if he is out there. Walton is one of the best running backs in college football and is in a system that suits him well. In the passing game, QB Malik Rosier (550 yards, 6 TD, 1 INT) is not asked to do much. He did, however, explode against Toledo, throwing for 333 yards with three touchdowns and only one pick. He also added a rushing touchdown. Perhaps that game will give him some confidence moving forward.

Duke has looked good to start the year, but this Miami team is a whole other animal. The Blue Devils will need to really play a perfect game in order to beat them on Friday, which means that QB Daniel Jones (904 yards, 5 TD, 2 INT) will need to show up in a big way here. Jones hasnít necessarily been horrible in his past two games, but he is definitely expected to be a lot better. He was just 38-for-69 for 386 yards, one touchdown, and one pick in those two contests. The Blue Devils will need Jones to throw for around 250 with at least two touchdowns on Friday. Another guy that will need to play a good game for Duke is RB Shaun Wilson (349 yards, 5 TD). Wilson has rushed for a least one touchdown in each of the first four games this season. Against Baylor two weeks ago, Wilson rushed for 176 yards with two scores. If he can go for at least 100 yards on Friday then the team will be in good shape against Miami. Defensively, Duke must be ready to defend the run. If the team lets Mark Walton go crazy then it wonít enter Week 6 with a perfect record.

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