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Brewers look to close out August with win
By: Nick Bracken - StatFox
Published: 8/31/2011  at  4:47:00 AM
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ST. LOUIS CARDINALS (71-64)

at MILWAUKEE BREWERS (81-55)

First pitch: Wednesday, 8:10 p.m. EDT
Line: Milwaukee -135, St. Louis +125, Total: 8.5

The Brewers look for their 22nd win in August on Wednesday, which would set a franchise record for any month. The rival St. Louis Cardinals would like nothing more than to win two straight and get to 8½ games behind them in the NL Central standings.

The Brewers will throw lefty Randy Wolf (11-8, 3.37 ERA) who has been red hot, going 5-0 with a 2.57 ERA in his past six starts with Milwaukee winning all six games. Jake Westbrook (10-7, 4.75 ERA) will be on the mound for the Cards on Wednesday. St. Louis would love Westbrook to throw six innings or more, considering the Cards are 12-2 when he does. The Brewers have been fantastic as a favorite of -110 or higher this year (64-26) and have dominated the NL Central going 41-22. St. Louis has not had much success against good teams (Win Pct. 54% to 62%), going 5-15 and getting outscored by an average of 6.2 to 3.8. With the Brew Crew winning 75% (50-17) of their home games, losing two in a row does not seem realistic. Expect MILWAUKEE to get the victory.

The FoxSheets provide two more trends siding with the Brewers.

MILWAUKEE is 44-16 (+24.4 Units) against the money line after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season. The average score was MILWAUKEE 4.7, OPPONENT 3.1 - (Rating = 3*).

MILWAUKEE is 67-38 (+26.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season. The average score was MILWAUKEE 4.6, OPPONENT 4.1 - (Rating = 2*).

Milwaukee has not had back-to-back losses since July 23-24 and has not lost a home series since July 4-6. Wolf is 2-1 against St. Louis this year, but has a 5.68 ERA in three games. He is coming off two straight wins against the Cards and in his last outing against them he threw eight innings, allowing only one run in a 5-1 victory. Jake Westbrook has not pitched well against Milwaukee this year going 0-2 with a 4.85 ERA. Westbrook’s problem has been six walks in only 13 innings against the Brew Crew. His wildness was also apparent in his last outing on Friday, where he threw six innings and allowed four runs and five walks in a 5-4 victory, which he received a no-decision.


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