DETROIT TIGERS (73-67)
at CHICAGO WHITE SOX (76-64)
First pitch: Tuesday, 8:10 p.m. EDT
Line: Chicago -110, Detroit +100, Total: 8
After losing game one of the crucial four-game series against Chicago Monday night 6-1, the Tigers will look gain ground in the AL Central sitting three games behind the division-leading White Sox.
The Tigers enter this game the losers of four in a row, a span in which their offense has not given them a chance, averaging just 1.5 runs per game in that span. They will look to reverse those fortunes against Jake Peavy, who Detroit has faced twice since the All-Star Break and beat him in both games, saddling Peavy with a 6.92 ERA. Peavy has faced the Tigers a remarkable five times in 2012 and is just 1-2 with a 5.79 ERA in those starts. Overall, he is 10-10 with a 3.22 ERA this year. In turn, Doug Fister will look to shut down the White Sox, with a 3.54 ERA and 1.22 WHIP this year, earning an 8-8 record. He faced Peavy on Aug. 31, a game in which the Tigers won 7-4. While Fister is 0-2 (team 1-4) in five career starts against Chicago, he has regularly pitched well with a 3.52 ERA. Look for him to lead DETROIT to victory in this one.
This rare FoxSheets five-star trend favors the UNDER:
DOUG FISTER is 19-2 UNDER (+16.8 Units) after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record). The average score was FISTER 3.1, OPPONENT 2.6 - (Rating = 5*).
Fister’s success against the White Sox comes from his ability to limit hits from some of the marquee members in the Chicago lineup. Paul Konerko, Kevin Youkilis and A.J. Pierzynski are a combined 6-for-41 in their career against Fister. And without Adam Dunn (oblique) in the lineup, he should be in great shape. Averaging 6.2 innings per start on the season, Fister has shown an ability to go even deeper into games on the road, where he averages 6.5 innings per start with a 3.32 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. That could help the Tigers win when they have a mediocre 4.25 bullpen ERA on the road.
Peavy’s greatest strength is his ability to go deep into games, averaging 6.9 innings per start this year, which starts with his ability to limit base runners and his 1.11 WHIP. And he has dominated at home this year with a 6-3 record, 3.05 ERA and 1.02 WHIP. But with his struggles as of late—he hasn’t beaten any team since the All Star Break except the lowly Twins—he is a sketchy play. And while the White Sox are 4-2 against the Tigers at home this year, the Tigers are 10-5 overall and 33-18 over the last three years.