NEW YORK YANKEES (96-67)
at BALTIMORE ORIOLES (94-70)
American League Division Series – New York leads series 1-0
First pitch: Monday, 8:05 p.m. EDT
Line: New York -135, Baltimore +125, Total: 8
After the Orioles gave up five runs in the ninth inning Sunday to give the Yankees a 7-2 victory, they will look to even this AL Division Series at one game apiece on Monday night.
One of the greatest postseason pitchers of this generation takes the mound for the Yankees in Game 2 in Andy Pettitte. With 19 playoff wins, he owns the all-time record in that category, but the big question entering any starts for this 40-year-old is his health. He has a 5-4 record, 2.87 ERA and 1.14 WHIP this season in 12 starts, but a broken ankle that sidelined him for three months interrupted those outings. That does not appear to be a concern, however—in his three starts since returning from the injury, he has a 1.62 ERA and 2-1 record. He faces fellow southpaw Wei-Yin Chen in this one, who has a 4.02 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 12-11 record (team 19-13) in 32 starts. And as good as Baltimore has been this season, New York has owned the Orioles at Camden Yards, winning seven of the 10 games. Even as road favorites, take NEW YORK in this one, with few surer bets than Andy Pettitte in October.
This key FoxSheets managerial trend also sides with the Yankees:
JOE GIRARDI is 40-16 (71.4%, +18.1 Units) against the money line after 2 straight wins by 4 runs or more as the manager of NY YANKEES. The average score was NY YANKEES 4.9, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 1*).
Andy Pettitte owns more wins against the Orioles than any team in his career, totaling a 22-6 record with a 3.53 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 34 starts. He has not pitched against them since 2010, when he combined to throw 11 innings in two starts, giving up just two runs. Pettitte’s endurance has not been stellar since his return from the DL, averaging just 5.6 innings per start, but he is well-rested, having not pitched since Sept. 29. The bullpen is also well-rested after CC Sabathia lasted 8.2 innings in Game 1. Yankees relievers have a 3.15 road ERA this season with 228 strikeouts in 219.2 innings. He also should not have difficulty getting run support—the Yankees are 37-24 (.607) against lefties this year, scoring 5.4 runs per game. New York has also tallied an impressive 44 runs during a current five-game win streak.
Chen was the lone Oriole to rack up double-digit wins on the season, but the rookie had a discouraging finish to 2012. In his final six starts—two of which were against the Yankees—he had an 0-4 record with a 5.05 ERA. He totaled four starts in his rookie campaign against the Yankees, finishing 1-2 (team 1-3) with a 5.25 ERA, but a strong 1.13 WHIP. Chen averages just 6.0 innings per start (5.7 in his past three), which could again put pressure on the Baltimore bullpen that has been very reliable despite closer Jim Johnson’s implosion on Sunday (0.1 IP, 5 H, 5 R, 4 ER). Orioles relievers have a collective 32-12 record (.727), 3.03 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 55 saves (78% conversion rate).