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For complete NBA coverage, download your FREE copy of the 2012 StatFox Edge NBA Preview. Once the NBA season begins on Oct. 30, check out NBA Best Bets for all the Expert picks. SOUTHEAST DIVISION MIAMI HEAT
2011-12 SU record: 62-27 SU (69.7%), 4th in NBA 2011-12 ATS record: 46-42-1 ATS (52.3%), T-9th in NBA Odds to Win 2012-13 Southeast Division: 1-to-100 Odds to Win 2012-13 Eastern Conference: 1-to-2 Odds to Win 2012-13 NBA Championship: 9-to-4GUARDS The regular season goal for DWYANE WADE is to just stay healthy. Even following knee surgery, he's still good enough to pile up numbers, but the minutes won't be there in the regular season . . . That's why the Heat brought in RAY ALLEN. He and Wade will share the floor at times, but Allen should primarily play off the bench. His role will be to knock down the wide-open threes Wade and LeBron James create . . . After all the big plays he made in the postseason, MARIO CHALMERS is entrenched as the starting point guard, despite being plagued by a bad hammy in the preseason . . . Super-quick NORRIS COLE looks like he'll become one of the NBA's better backup point guards . . . If he doesn't retire, the absurdly brittle MIKE MILLER will see limited regular-season minutes . . . TERREL HARRIS will likely make the team because he's willing to play defense. FORWARDS While another title is their No. 1 priority, LeBRON JAMES has shown no need to rest during the regular season. He'll play full-time minutes and be in the thick of the MVP race . . . CHRIS BOSH remains integral to the offense with his ability to pull opposing bigs away from the basket. His stats don't reflect his actual value . . . SHANE BATTIER will continue to be a defensive specialist whose offensive role is limited to shooting open threes . . . UDONIS HASLEM is another guy who will get held back in the regular season. He should lead their low-post rotation . . . RASHARD LEWIS' knee problems have robbed him of athleticism . . . But Lewis should beat out fellow shooter JAMES JONES for a rotation spot . . . JARVIS VARNADO is a shot-blocking force with little to no offensive game. CENTERS JOEL ANTHONY will continue to tag-team with Haslem in the middle. Anthony is an absolute negative on the offensive end, but he brings more size and shot-blocking than Haslem . . . DEXTER PITTMAN will be battling for a roster spot. Sexy Dexy has shown no signs of being an NBA-caliber player so far in his career . . . MICKELL GLADNESS is a better alternative than Pittman on both ends of the floor. StatFox Take: This team should be just as potent as last season, with Allen able to provide a legitimate three-point weapon. However, the injury status of Wade and Chalmers could get this team off to a slow start to the season. The odds are just too unfavorable, especially the ridiculous $1,000 wager to win $10 as Central Division champions. ATLANTA HAWKS
2011-12 SU record: 42-30 SU (58.3%), 8th in NBA 2011-12 ATS record: 38-32-2 ATS (54.3%), 6th in NBA Odds to Win 2012-13 Southeast Division: 8-to-1 Odds to Win 2012-13 Eastern Conference: 40-to-1 Odds to Win 2012-13 NBA Championship: 100-to-1
GUARDS GM Danny Ferry has really talked up JEFF TEAGUE, who will be more of a traditionalpoint guard with Joe Johnson gone . . . DEVIN HARRIS is going to play plenty of minutes, both alongside Teague and off the bench . . . LOU WILLIAMS is a sixth man. He lacks the mentality to run the point and the size to guard opposing twos. His role will be similar to what it was in Philly . . . KYLE KORVER and ANTHONY MORROW are pure shooters who do little else. They can play the three in a pinch, and the hot hand will get the minutes . . . Head coach Larry Drew could call on DeSHAWN STEVENSON for the occasional defense-heavy lineup. More likely, he'll rack up the DNP-CDs . . . JOHN JENKINS might be the best shooter in the rookie class, but he'll be buried on the depth chart. FORWARDS JOSH SMITH rescinded his trade demand, perhaps because he'll now be the focal pointof the offense. He was more aggressive on both ends of the floor last year. As long as he resists the urge to float on the perimeter, he should emerge as an All-Star . . . Considering the makeup of this roster, Atlanta will utilize a lot of three-guard lineups. Korver and Morrow can stretch a defense from that third guard/small forward spot, with Stevenson stepping in as an agitator . . . After scoring double-figures six times in April, IVAN JOHNSON was re-signed to once again provide some muscle inside . . . Rookie MIKE SCOTT is polished after five years at Virginia, but doesn't have the athleticism to be an impact player . . . ANTHONY TOLLIVER is a defensive specialist with very little offense to contribute. CENTERS AL HORFORD will get his wish to play more power forward this season, though he'll remain their primary option at center. He's healthy again and is one of the most consistent bigs in the NBA . . . ZAZA PACHULIA filled in admirably for Horford last year. But it's back to bench duty for the bruising big . . . JOHAN PETRO is French for "12th man." StatFox Take: Without a glaring weakness on either end of the court, the Hawks provide arguably the best value on the board at 40-to-1 to win the Eastern Conference. This team finished just six games behind Miami last season, and is a lock to make the playoffs with three awful teams in their division to beat up on. Getting 100-to-1 odds that Atlanta can win it all is also a tempting play, considering these are the same exact odds the Nets and Warriors are getting. WASHINGTON WIZARDS
2011-12 SU record: 20-46 SU (30.3%), 29th in NBA 2011-12 ATS record: 29-36-1 ATS (44.6%), T-24th in NBA Odds to Win 2012-13 Southeast Division: 20-to-1 Odds to Win 2012-13 Eastern Conference: 100-to-1 Odds to Win 2012-13 NBA Championship: 200-to-1
GUARDS JOHN WALL hasn't developed much diversity in his offensive game, but he's still really fast and an effective distributor. The improved supporting cast should help him reach the next level, assuming he feels no ill effects from the stress injury in his left knee that will keep him out until late November . . . BRADLEY BEAL is a great shooter, but he can also score off the dribble. Throw in his rebounding ability from the backcourt, and he should contribute in a number of ways as a rookie . . . JORDAN CRAWFORD is a pure scorer, but not an efficient one. He won't be able to hold off Beal for long, if at all . . . A.J. PRICE steps in as Wall's top backup. He'll play limited minutes with the second unit . . . SHELVIN MACK will be battling for a roster spot, most likely with underachieving swingman MARTELL WEBSTER. FORWARDS TREVOR ARIZA should have no trouble stepping into the starting lineup. He'll at least have a chance to re-find his three-point shot getting drive-and-dish feeds from Wall . . . Nenę will slide to the four with Emeka Okafor coming in. That means athletic, but raw, JAN VESELY will have to play with the second unit. He can really run the floor, but doesn't help much in the half-court game . . . TREVOR BOOKER is a very good screener on offense who holds his own defensively and on the boards. He still has a chance for a handful of starts if Nenę or Okafor get hurt . . . CHRIS SINGLETON started a lot of games last year, but the defensive specialist will likely spend this season learning behind Ariza . . . CARTIER MARTIN never saw a shot he didn't like. CENTERS NENĘ had some trouble with plantar fasciitis last year and playing in the Olympics didn't help. If healthy, he has a chance to be Washington's leading scorer . . . EMEKA OKAFOR will start alongside Nenę. He's the fifth-best option on offense, but holds his own defensively . . . KEVIN SERAPHIN has proven he can hold down a starting job. He'll come off the bench but should still have a significant role. StatFox Take: The oddsmakers have the Wizards picked third in the division, but 20-to-1 to win the Southeast is way too low, considering the Heat are in the same division, and Washington had the second-worst record in the entire league last season. Until John Wall matures, this will continue to be a sub-.500 team. ORLANDO MAGIC
2011-12 SU record: 38-33 SU (53.5%), 12th in NBA 2011-12 ATS record: 36-35 ATS (50.7%), 15th in NBA Odds to Win 2012-13 Southeast Division: 200-to-1 Odds to Win 2012-13 Eastern Conference: 500-to-1 Odds to Win 2012-13 NBA Championship: 1,000-to-1
GUARDS With Dwight Howard gone, this becomes JAMEER NELSON's team on the offensive end. Injuries slowed him a year ago, but he still does a nice job creating his own scoring chances . . . ARRON AFFLALO will provide some much-needed defense on the perimeter, a huge team weakness that will be exploited in the post-Howard era. He'll be a No. 2 or 3 option on the offensive end as well . . . J.J. REDICK has a chance for a bigger role in what should be a transitional year in Orlando. He's no more of a defensive liability than Nelson . . . CHRISTIAN EYENGA was a throw-in during the Dwight Howard trade and defends well enough to earn a roster spot . . . ISHMAEL SMITH will back up Nelson once he returns from a shoulder injury . . . E'TWAUN MOORE has played well enough in the preseason to spell Nelson too. FORWARDS HEDO TURKOGLU still has some value as a point forward, though his minutes could shrink as Orlando rebuilds . . . GLEN DAVIS shined in Howard's absence last year. He's inefficient, but aggressive and willing to throw his weight around . . . Keep an eye on ANDREW NICHOLSON; the rookie is a crafty scorer who can shoot away from the basket . . . QUENTIN RICHARDSON will chug along as an injury-prone, three-point specialist . . . AL HARRINGTON is coming off a couple knee surgeries and may not have much left in the tank . . . MOE HARKLESS is athletic, versatile, and could get a long look in the second half of the year . . . GUSTAVO AYON is a capable big body who can play some center . . . JUSTIN HARPER will be buried on the bench . . . JOSH McROBERTS is not good. CENTERS Davis figures to see a lot of minutes at center, but NIKOLA VUCEVIC is a much better defensive option. He's limited offensively, but could start grabbing more minutes in the middle as the year goes on . . . KYLE O'QUINN is a big body who can score around the basket. He has a rough transition ahead of him as an average athlete from a small school. StatFox Take: Life after Dwight Howard won’t be as bad as the oddsmakers think. Despite making the playoffs a season ago, the Magic are getting 10 times longer odds than the lowly Wizards to win this division. Also, the 500-to-1 odds to win the Eastern Conference are quite tempting, making the Magic worthy of a unit wager for an enormous payoff potential. CHARLOTTE BOBCATS
2011-12 SU record: 7-59 SU (10.6%), Last in NBA 2011-12 ATS record: 24-43-1 ATS (33.8%), Last in NBA Odds to Win 2012-13 Southeast Division: 200-to-1 Odds to Win 2012-13 Eastern Conference: 500-to-1 Odds to Win 2012-13 NBA Championship: 1,000-to-1
GUARDS RAMON SESSIONS will have to adjust to a major downgrade in teammates, but he has the kind of versatile offensive skill set to be the focal point of this offense . . . The athletic GERALD HENDERSON has made strides the past two seasons. Realistically, his offensive skills are those of a No. 4 or 5 option . . . Head coach Mike Dunlap is high on KEMBA WALKER, who was sometimes overwhelmed as a rookie. With a few new sets built in for him, he could thrive as a sixth man getting starter's minutes . . . BEN GORDON won't overtake Henderson, but should see big minutes as the Cats' only shooter . . . REGGIE WILLIAMS is a D-League talent . . . MATT CARROLL, in the final year of his $27 million deal, symbolizes everything that's gone wrong under Michael Jordan. FORWARDS Drafting MICHAEL KIDD-GILCHRIST was as much about changing the losing culture as it was adding a piece they needed. MKG's statistical output is a question mark, but he'll see big minutes as a defensive stopper and intangibles guy . . . This team is seriously lacking in the post, where they may have no choice but to play TYRUS THOMAS for significant minutes. The talented but uber-underachieving big man claims to have added 20 pounds of muscle in the offseason. If nothing else, they might showcase him in a desperate attempt to get some trade value . . . Rookie JEFFERY TAYLOR figures to make the team and has the versatility and athleticism to be a respectable second-unit guy. CENTERS Charlotte sees BISMACK BIYOMBO as a franchise cornerstone. He can certainly rebound and block shots, but his offense is atrocious . . . BRENDAN HAYWOOD brings a veteran presence. At his age he can't go more than 15 or so minutes per night . . . BYRON MULLENS never saw a shot he didn't like. He'll get one more chance to prove he's an NBA rotation player, able to play the four or five . . . DeSAGANA DIOP is doing those things that DeSagana Diop does. StatFox Take: No odds can justify putting a wager on this joke of a franchise that Vegas doesn't expect to win even 20 games this season. All NBA PreviewsATLANTIC Division CENTRAL Division SOUTHEAST Division NORTHWEST Division - Mon, Oct. 22 PACIFIC Division - Wed, Oct. 24 SOUTHWEST Division - Fri, Oct. 26For complete NBA coverage, download your FREE copy of the 2012 StatFox Edge NBA Preview. Once the NBA season begins on Oct. 30, check out NBA Best Bets for all the Expert picks.
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