SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
at DETROIT TIGERS
World Series Game 3 - San Francisco leads series 2-0
First pitch: Saturday, 8:05 p.m. EDT
Line: Detroit -145, San Francisco +135, Total: 7
The Tigers look to wake up their bats and get back in the World Series for the first of a potential three games in Detroit on Saturday night.
Detroit has scored only three runs during its two losses in San Francisco, as the team managed just two hits while getting shut out 2-0 in Game 2 at AT&T Park on Thursday night. Anibal Sanchez, coming off two strong postseason starts (1.35 ERA, 0.98 WHIP) will try to trim the series deficit for the Tigers. However, the Giants will also trot out a hot pitcher in Ryan Vogelsong who has allowed just one run in each of his past six starts, posting a 1.42 ERA in three playoff outings. But he'll be facing a desperate Detroit team that has the majors' best home record at 54-31 (.635), which includes eight straight victories, and outscoring playoff foes 18-7 in Comerica Park. Sanchez is very familiar with this San Francisco lineup, posting a 1.98 ERA and 0.88 WHIP in five starts against them, all in the past three seasons when he was with the Marlins. Although the money line is a bit lopsided, the play here is DETROIT to win and close the gap in the series.
This three-star FoxSheets also trend also expects the Tigers to win:
Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (SAN FRANCISCO) - NL team with a low on-base percentage (<=.350) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP <=1.350), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start. (159-58 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.3%, +69.4 units. Rating = 3*).
Vogelsong (16-9, 3.19 ERA, 1.20 WHIP in 2012) has led his team to a 22-12 record in his 34 starts spanning both the regular season and playoffs. He had identical pitching lines in his two NLCS starts, allowing one run on four hits in seven innings. But those outings were both at home, and he has been much worse on the road this season, going 7-5 with a 3.77 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. Vogelsong has faced Detroit just once in his career, allowing three runs (2 ER) on four hits in 6.2 strong innings of work. He struck out five and walked four as his team fell at Comerica Park, 6-3. Vogelsong averages 6.1 innings per start for the season, but his bullpen hasn't been great outside of AT&T Park in 2012, posting a 3.86 ERA and 1.42 WHIP. However, Giants relievers have been strong during the playoffs, going 2-0 with a 2.66 ERA, 0.95 WHIP and 46 K's in 47.1 IP.
Sanchez (10-14, 3.70 ERA, 1.25 WHIP in 2012) has pitched just six times at Comerica Park in his career, going 3-2 with a 3.47 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. However, the last time Sanchez pitched in Detroit on Sept. 25, he threw a three-hit shutout with 10 K's in a 2-0 win over Kansas City. Sanchez's three starts versus San Francisco since 2011 have all been opposite Vogelsong. Sanchez won the first two by allowing just one run in 16 innings, but the Giants crushed him on May 24, scoring five runs in his 5.1 innings. But Sanchez was outstanding in his last outing in Game 2 of the ALCS, throwing seven shutout innings of three-hit ball at Yankee Stadium. Detroit's bullpen numbers have been poor during the postseason (4.39 ERA, 1.28 WHIP), but much of that is on former closer Jose Valverde who has allowed nine runs in 2.2 innings this postseason. He gave up four hits and two runs in just 0.1 innings in Thursday's Game 2. Taking Valverde out of the equation, the other six Tigers relievers have a 1.50 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in the 2012 playoffs, striking out 23 batters in 24 innings.