NASCAR Sprint Cup SeriesSunday, November 11 – 2:00 p.m. EDT
Kobalt Tools 500
Phoenix International Speedway – Avondale, AZ
Just two races remain in NASCAR’s Chase for the Cup. This Sunday the drivers start their engines in the desert at Phoenix International Speedway. This 1-mile, tri-oval intermediate track was built in 1964 with a small degree of banking on the turns (11 degrees at Turns 1-2 and 9 degrees at Turns 3-4). The backstretch is also 9 degrees of banking, and measures 1,551 feet (0.29 miles), while the frontstretch is a mere 3 degrees, measuring 1,179 feet (0.22 miles). Kyle Busch will start from the pole, while current points leader Jimmie Johnson will start 24th, 10 spots worse than Brad Keselowski, who trails Johnson by just seven points in the standings.
Odds to Win Race(For the latest Odds, connect to Sportsbook.com)
|Martin Truex Jr.||10-to-1|
|Dale Earnhardt Jr.||20-to-1|
|Sam Hornish Jr.||100-to-1|
|Field (Any other driver)||500-to-1|
Drivers to WatchTony Stewart (12/1) - It's been a long time since Stewart won at Phoenix -- 1999 to be exact -- but he's been knocking on the door recently with top-7 finishes in three of his past six starts in Arizona. He's also finishing this season strong as well, with a pair of top-5's in the past three races. At 12-to-1 odds, he has the best value on the board here and is our pick to win on Sunday.
Jimmie Johnson (4/1) - Not only has he been surging when it counts the most this season, but Johnson has been outstanding in Phoenix, finishing fifth or better in 10 of his past 11 starts at this track. This span includes four victories. But going back to this season, the current points leader has placed fourth or better in six of his past eight races, including two straight victories. The odds here are pretty miniscule at 4-to-1, but you have to think Johnson will at least finish in the top-5, which makes those odds look much more tantalizing.
Brad Keselowski (8/1) - His odds are actually a bit longer than one might expect for such a hot driver. Keselowski has had a ridiculous 16 top-10's in his past 18 starts. This includes two victories and a runner-up during the Chase. But although he finished fifth in Phoenix earlier this season, that was the only great showing he's ever had at this track. His other five starts in Phoenix have ended up in 37th, 42nd, 16th, 15th and 18th. This poor track history makes him no better than a one-unit wager on Sunday.
Carl Edwards (25/1) - He continues to be a non-factor this season, but has performed very well in Phoenix in his career with an average finish of 12.6 and six top-5's in his past 13 starts, including a victory in 2010. Edwards is always dangerous on intermediate tracks, as 60% of his career races at this type of venue have resulted in top-10 finishes, including 17 trips to victory lane. At 25-to-1, he's worthy of a small wager on Sunday.
Ryan Newman (60/1) - If you like to try your luck with longshots, Newman is your man. Before his disappointing 21st place showing at Phoenix earlier this year, he rattled off finishes of 2, 1, 5 and 5 in the previous four races at this track, despite a starting spot no better than 14th. And it's not like Newman has been terrible in 2012, knocking out one win, four top-5's and a dozen top-10 finishes. At 60-to-1, he could bring a huge payout here.