WISCONSIN BADGERS (12-4)
at INDIANA HOOSIERS (15-1)
Assembly Hall – Bloomington, IN Tip-off: Tuesday, 9:00 p.m. ET Line: Indiana -10.5, Total: 134.5 Coming off an impressive 23-point dismantling of then-No. 12 Illinois, Wisconsin will look to upset another Big Ten foe as it heads to No. 2 Indiana on Tuesday night. Something will have to give in this matchup as the Hoosiers feature the nation’s top scoring offense at 87.1 PPG while the Badgers hold opponents to a pithy 54.7 PPG, the sixth-lowest average in Division I. The Hoosiers make 51.1% FG (fourth in Division I) but have yet to see a defense like this one all season. Can Indiana win convincingly over defensive-minded Wisconsin in this matchup? For the answer, connect to College Basketball Best Bets for all the Expert picks throughout the entire 2012-13 season. The StatFox experts have a collective 24-18 ATS (57%) mark in the past six days, boosting them to 53% ATS (224-202-8) in college basketball Best Bets for the season, led by StatFox Gary, who sits at 58% ATS (51-37) for the season, while StatFox Dave is at 54.3% ATS (82-69-3) on the year. Dave is also 5-1-1 ATS (83%) since Nov. 24 when he mentions the word "hammer" in his analysis, including 3-1 ATS when he uses the term "Hammertime" for a favorite covering a large spread. StatFox Scott is 51.1% ATS for the season, after going 8-4 ATS since Monday, and StatFox Brian is 4-3 ATS in the past three days. The Badgers are very tough to blow out with their methodical pace on offense and ability to take care of the basketball with just 8.9 turnovers per game (best in nation). During their current six-game win streak, they have just 7.2 TOPG. Six-foot-10 C Jared Berggren (13.4 PPG, 6.4 RPG) leads the Wisconsin offense from the inside out and is coming off a double-double against the Fighting Illini (15 points, 12 boards). He also blocks 2.1 shots per game, and has 3.0 BPG over the team’s past four contests. Junior G Ben Brust (11.1 PPG, 6.3 RPG, 3.1 APG) runs the point and is a great rebounder despite standing at 6-foot-1. He has been struggling on offense lately though, with just one double-digit scoring output in his last five games, and making just 9-of-28 shots in his past three contests. Wisconsin’s third and final double-digit scorer is senior PF Ryan Evans (11.4 PPG, 7.8 RPG) who has six straight double-figure scoring games with 13.2 PPG and 9.0 RPG during this streak. He and Berggren should be able to effectively compete with the Hoosiers for rebounds and give the Badgers a shot here, as the team holds a +11.2 RPG margin this season, with 41.5 RPG compared to 30.3 RPG from their opponents. Tom Crean’s Hoosiers also feature one of the top rebounding teams (41.5 RPG, 11th in D-I) and passing teams (17.1 APG, 12th in D-I). Preseason National Player of the Year C Cody Zeller (16.6 PPG, 7.8 RPG) leads the offense with his athletic 7-foot frame, which he has used to make 63.4% FG this season. But the Badgers frustrated him in the two meetings last year, as Zeller had twice as many fouls (8) as rebounds (4) in the pair of defeats. PF Christian Watford (12.9 PPG, 6.7 RPG) joins him in the post, but with the threat to open up the offense, nailing 1.6 three-pointers per game on a 46.3% clip. Swingman Victor Oladipo (13.8 PPG, 5.9 RPG) has the third-highest FG Pct. in the nation at 68.3%, and is also one of the nation's best defenders with 2.4 SPG (T-22nd in D-I). He is coming off an impressive 20-point, three-steal effort in Saturday's win against Minnesota in which he fouled out. G Jordan Hulls (11.6 PPG, 3.7 APG) is a deadly sharpshooter with 2.6 three-pointers per game, making 53% of his attempts from deep, while 6-foot-7 F Will Sheehey (11.4 PPG) is also a scoring asset despite going scoreless (0-for-3 FG) against Minnesota. Freshman PG Kevin "Yogi" Ferrell (6.6 PPG, 5.3 APG) has been a splendid passer in the early going and is coming off one of his best games of the year, a 13-point, eight-assist performance. In the past four games, he has 23 assists and just six turnovers combined.
|