HOUSTON ROCKETS (28-25)
at GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS (30-21)
Tip-off: Tuesday, 10:35 p.m. ET
Line: Golden State -4.5, Total: 219
The slumping Warriors try to end a four-game losing skid when they host the Rockets on Tuesday night.
Houston has been playing some great basketball recently, going 6-3 SU (7-2 ATS) in its past nine games. This includes its meeting with the Warriors seven days ago, when the Rockets nailed an NBA-record-tying 23 three-pointers in a 140-109 romp at home. But they are 3-9 SU in their past 12 road games, including three straight defeats in which they allowed 118, 114 and 117 points. The good news for Houston is that star SG James Harden is expected to play despite a sore left knee that kept him out of Monday's practice. The Warriors just completed a winless road trip (0-4 SU and ATS), but they have been great in Oakland this season, going 16-6 SU (13-9 ATS) and scoring 101.2 PPG on 46.6% FG on their home floor. However, the Rockets are a dominating 15-2 SU (12-5 ATS) versus Golden State since the start of the 2008 calendar year.
Can the Warriors put an end to their long losing skid when they return to their home court on Tuesday? For the answer, connect to NBA Best Bets for all the Expert picks throughout the entire 2012-13 season. For NBA Best Bets, StatFox Scott is in the midst of an epic run, going 14-1 ATS (93%) since Feb. 3, including 10 straight ATS wins since Feb. 6, improving his record to an impressive 58% ATS (84-62-1) for the season. The experts are a collective 30-18 ATS (63%) in the past seven days and are 46-30 ATS (61%) in the month of February. StatFox Gary is 5-3 ATS (63%) in the past seven days, while StatFox Dave is 14-10 ATS (58%) during the month. For NBA Totals, the experts are an outstanding 41-27-1 (60%) in the past 18 days with Gary at 16-7 (70%) and StatFox Brian going 13-9-1 (59%) since Jan. 25. For the season, Scott is a whopping 57% (74-56) in Totals, while Gary is a profitable 53% (67-60-4).
Houston has the second-best offense in the NBA with 106.1 PPG and its 46.2% FG clip ranks sixth in the league. However, the defense allows the second-most points in the NBA (103.2 PPG), a number which has risen to 110.8 PPG given up over the past four contests. The Rockets are led by SG James Harden (26.1 PPG, 5.7 APG, 4.7 RPG), who had only 18 points in the win over Golden State, but has exploded in three games since with 36, 35 and 30 points in Sunday's loss at Sacramento. Harden is shooting 63% FG during this streak of 30-point games, while adding 8.3 RPG and 7.3 APG. SF Chandler Parsons (14.3 PPG, 5.6 RPG) has had a great season, but is coming off a terrible game against the Kings, scoring just five points on 2-of-12 FG. He tallied 16 points and eight assists in the big win over Golden State last week. PG Jeremy Lin (12.5 PPG, 6.1 APG) lit up the Warriors for 28 points (10-of-16 FG, 5-for-8 threes) and nine assists on Feb. 5, and has really made smart decisions lately with 30 assists and just 11 turnovers in five February games. C Omer Asik (10.5 PPG, 11.5 RPG) posted his 23rd double-double of the season on Sunday (17 pts, 12 reb), and has been a rebounding machine in his past eight games with 15.3 RPG to go along with 13.1 PPG. This includes his 11-point, 15-rebound effort versus Golden State last week.
The Warriors both score and allow 100.9 PPG this season, good for 8th in offense, but 24th in defense. They also grab 44.6 RPG, which places them fourth in the NBA. But during the current four-game skid, Golden State was outscored by an average of 119 to 98. Star PG Stephen Curry (20.9 PPG, 6.6 APG, 4.0 RPG) shot horribly during the road trip, making just 27-of-77 shots (35%). This included a 3-for-12 night in Houston where he finished with seven points in 30 minutes of action. But in Curry's last home game on Feb. 2, he blitzed the Suns for 29 points on 6-of-10 threes. SG Klay Thompson (16.3 PPG, 3.9 RPG) also had a rough trip with just 11.3 PPG on 38.8% FG. He played only 20 minutes in the big loss at Toyota Center last week, scoring a mere six points on 3-of-5 FG. PF David Lee (19.2 PPG, 10.8 RPG) played pretty well against the Rockets last week with 28 points on 8-of-10 FG, increasing his career averages to 15.3 PPG (58% FG) and 9.4 RPG in 15 meetings with Houston. PG Jarrett Jack (12.8 PPG, 5.8 APG) is questionable for this game with a bruised shoulder that has kept him out of the lineup for the past three games. In his most recent action, he scored 20 points in just 29 minutes in Houston. C Andrew Bogut (8.0 PPG, 5.6 RPG) is expected to play after sitting out of Saturday's game as he tries to get his surgically-repaired left ankle back to 100 percent. He was effective in last week's loss in Houston, tallying 10 points and nine rebounds in just 25 minutes of action.