Odds to Win Super Bowl XLVIII
(For the latest Odds, connect to Sportsbook.ag)
|New England Patriots||6-to-1|
|San Francisco 49ers||7-to-1|
|Green Bay Packers||10-to-1|
|New Orleans Saints||16-to-1|
|New York Giants||18-to-1|
|San Diego Chargers||40-to-1|
|Kansas City Chiefs||50-to-1|
|New York Jets||50-to-1|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||60-to-1|
|St. Louis Rams||60-to-1|
We’re not even two weeks removed from the Ravens remarkable Super Bowl run, but it’s not too early to look ahead to next fall. The pre-free agency, pre-draft Super Bowl odds are out, and here’s a look at some of our favorite bets…
Although the dates won't be announced until April, opponents are set:
AFC East plays AFC North and NFC South
AFC North plays AFC East and NFC North
AFC South plays AFC West and NFC West
AFC West plays AFC South and NFC East
NFC East plays NFC North and AFC West
NFC North plays NFC East and AFC North
NFC South plays NFC West and AFC East
NFC West plays NFC South and AFC South
GREEN BAY PACKERS (10/1): When you can increase your wager tenfold by banking on Aaron Rodgers, that's not a bad thing. He's still the best quarterback on the planet, finishing last season with 39 TD passes and just 8 INT. The numbers were in spite of his two best receivers missing the majority of the season, a subpar running game and taking 51 sacks. Once the Green Bay coaches make major improvements to the offensive line, there's no limit to how great this offense can be. And the Packers defense is still on the underrated side, allowing 20 points or less in nine of their final 10 regular-season games. If you had to bet on just one team to celebrate at MetLife Stadium next February, Green Bay has the best value on the board at 10-to-1.
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (10/1): The Seahawks will likely be the trendy Super Bowl pick this season for experts around the country. Nobody thought Russell Wilson was going to win the starting job over high-priced free agent Matt Flynn last offseason, and become a Pro Bowl player as a rookie. Now that Seattle has its quarterback situation ironed out, there is not a real weakness on this team with Marshawn Lynch igniting a powerful running game, and a defense that will continue to improve. The 2013 schedule is quite favorable, as the Seahawks will play five dome games (Arizona, St. Louis, Atlanta, Houston and Indianapolis) and have some easy non-division home tilts against Jacksonville, Tennessee and Tampa Bay. At 10-to-1, Seattle is certainly worthy of a small wager.
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (6/1): The Patriots are the odds-on favorite, but a 6-to-1 wager is certainly no picnic for a team that hasn't won a Super Bowl since the 2004 season. The 2013 schedule appears much more challenging than last year with non-divisional road games at Atlanta, Baltimore, Houston, Cincinnati and Carolina. Home tilts versus Pittsburgh, New Orleans and Denver are also games the Pats could lose. There is better value on the board, but this New England club has won 10+ games for 10 seasons, taking the division crown in all nine of these campaigns that Tom Brady was healthy.
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (7/1): The defending NFC champions have compiled a 24-7-1 record in two years under Jim Harbaugh, and will have a full season of optimizing the many talents of QB Colin Kaepernick. The defense will still be top-notch as long as LBs Patrick Willis and NaVorro Bowman are healthy to man the middle of the field, and a healthy DL Justin Smith will make this unit tougher than they were down the stretch. Their first-place schedule is tough, but the Falcons, Packers, Texans and Colts all have to travel to San Francisco, and the Niners are looking at five relatively easy road trips to Jacksonville, Tennessee, Tampa Bay, Arizona and St. Louis.
HOUSTON TEXANS (10/1): The Texans imploded down the stretch last year, but have enough of a cake schedule with AFC South and AFC West teams to win a dozen games and earn a first-round playoff bye. Matt Schaub is an average-at-best starting quarterback, but Arian Foster is the most complete runner in the AFC, and the offensive line boasted three Pro Bowl players. Houston needs to find another receiver to complement Andre Johnson, the conference's leader in receiving yards, but this young defense should keep improving, especially with a healthy Brian Cushing to lead the unit in the middle of the field. It also helps to have the reigning Defensive Player of the Year in DL J.J. Watt.
BALTIMORE RAVENS (16/1): The defending Super Bowl champion Ravens have some pretty favorable odds here, with the same 16-to-1 label as rival Pittsburgh. The big question in Baltimore will be whether or not Super Bowl XLVII MVP quarterback Joe Flacco will return to the Ravens or take more money elsewhere. Ray Lewis might be retiring, but the defense will be much improved with a full year of OLB Terrell Suggs and CB Lardarius Webb being healthy.
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (16/1): The Saints are an intriguing play at 16-to-1 with Sean Payton coming back after his Bounty Bowl suspension. There's no question that this Drew Brees-led offense is good enough, but this was the NFL's worst yardage defense last season (440 total yards per game allowed), and they are clearly not as strong as the Falcons in the NFC South.
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (40/1): The Colts were certainly the biggest surprise playoff team of 2012, but they could go through some growing pains with new offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton. He'll employ a West Coast offense, but may also use Andrew Luck in some pistol formations. They still have a below-average defense, but at 40-to-1, it's conceivable that Indy can win another 11 games with a favorable schedule playing 10 of its games against the two worst divisions in football (AFC West and AFC South).
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (50/1): The best longshot value on the board has to be the Eagles with new coach Chip Kelly infusing his exciting offense. It's unclear if Michael Vick or Nick Foles will be Kelly's favorite quarterback, but there is still a ton of talent on this team, especially in the skill positions with RB LeSean McCoy and WRs DeSean Jackson and Jeremy Maclin. Philly was decimated by injuries last season, and the head coaching chance could be just what the city needs to reclaim the top spot in a wide-open NFC East division.
CAROLINA PANTHERS (50/1): The Panthers finished the 2012 season on quite a high note, winning five of their final six games by an average of 11.8 PPG in those five victories. The 2013 schedule sets up nicely for Cam Newton and company with a manageable non-divisional road slate of Cardinals, Bills, Dolphins, Vikings and 49ers. This team doesn't have a lot of big-name stars, but the defense is powered by a great linebacking corps (Luke Kuechly and Thomas Davis) and strong pass rushing duo of DEs Charles Johnson (12.5 sacks) and Greg Hardy (11 sacks). If the Panthers can figure out who should run the football, they could certainly win 10 games and be a tough out in the postseason.
BUFFALO BILLS (100/1): Don't expect the Bills to knock the Patriots from the top spot in the AFC East, but their odds are long enough to drop a unit wager on. They actually won four of their six games last year by double-digits and suffered four losses by 7 points or less, so they're not far off from that 10-win threshold. The schedule isn't easy with the draw of the AFC North and NFC South, but trips to Jacksonville, Cleveland, Tampa Bay, Miami and the N.Y. Jets are all winnable. If brainiac quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick takes a step forward and C.J. Spiller is properly used as an every-down back, the offense will be above average. And the Bills defense also has enough star power with Mario Williams leading the way.