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No. 1 Indiana visits No. 4 MSU on Tuesday
By: Brian Graham - StatFox
Published: 2/19/2013  at  4:13:00 AM
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INDIANA HOOSIERS (23-3)

at MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS (22-4)

Jack Breslin Student Events Center - East Lansing, MI
Tip-off: Tuesday, 7:00 p.m. ET
Line: Michigan State -1.5, Total: 141

In yet another huge matchup in the Big Ten, No. 1 Indiana looks for a rare win in East Lansing, MI when it visits No. 4 Michigan State on Tuesday night.

Indiana hasn't won at the Breslin Center since 1991, and carries a 1-18 SU record in this building all-time. But the Hoosiers enter this game on a roll with eight SU wins in their past nine game, including a 5-1 ATS mark over the past six contests. The one blemish during this run was a last-second loss at Illinois. The Spartans are a perfect 15-0 SU (6-6 ATS) at home this season, holding visitors to a paltry 55.3 PPG on 35.3% FG. They have also won 11 of 12 games SU (8-3-1 ATS) since the calendar turned to 2013, but the lone defeat came in Bloomington when Indiana beat them 75-70.

Which Big Ten powerhouse will emerge victorious on Tuesday night? For the answer, connect to College Basketball Best Bets for all the Expert picks throughout the entire 2012-13 season. StatFox Scott is 60% ATS (15-10) on college hoops Best Bets since Feb. 8, while StatFox Gary is 55% ATS (83-68-3) for Best Bets this season. StatFox Dave is at 52% ATS (135-126-4) for the season.

Indiana's offense is outstanding, ranking second in the nation in scoring (82.9 PPG) and fourth in shooting (50.2% FG). This includes a 42.7% clip from three-point range (2nd-best in D-I) and the Hoosiers also outrebound opponents by 9.5 RPG, placing them fifth in the nation in this category. But Indiana also knows how to play tough defense, giving up just 61.0 PPG on 38.1% FG (16th in nation). The Hoosiers' top two players both shoot 60% from the field in C Cody Zeller (16.6 PPG, 8.2 RPG, 60% FG) and SG Victor Oladipo (13.8 PPG, 5.8 RPG, 64% FG). Although Zeller made just two field goals (2-for-7 FG) in the win over MSU on Jan. 27, he has averaged 18.5 PPG and 8.7 RPG over six games since that victory. Oladipo posted an impressive 21 points (8-for-12 FG), seven rebounds, six steals and three blocks in that win over the Spartans. Oladipo, who also averages 2.3 SPG this season, sprained his left ankle in Saturday's win over Purdue, but is expected to start on Tuesday night. Three other Hoosiers also scored in double-figures against MSU last month. PF Christian Watford (13.2 PPG, 6.8 RPG) had 12 points and six rebounds against the Spartans, PG Yogi Ferrell (7.3 PPG, 4.3 APG) scored 11 points with three assists, and PG Jordan Hulls (10.7 PPG, 3.3 APG) pitched in 10 points and four assists. But the hero in Saturday's 83-55 win over Purdue was SF Will Sheehey (10.2 PPG, 3.7 RPG) who scored 22 points on a perfect 9-of-9 FG.

Michigan State can't equal Indiana's offensive firepower, averaging just 70.0 PPG (112th in nation), but it does have a strong FG Pct. (47.0%, 33rd in nation) and also rebounds very well with a +7.2 RPG margin. Defensively, the Spartans are outstanding, allowing 59.1 PPG on 38.8% FG, both which rank among the top-30 schools in the nation. A big part of these low numbers is a perimeter defense that tallies 8.4 SPG. Junior SG Keith Appling leads this team in scoring (14.0 PPG) and assists (4.0 APG), but makes just 41.8% FG. Appling was bottled up against Indiana last month, scoring just three points (1-of-4 FG) and committing four turnovers before fouling out. Sophomore swingman Branden Dawson (10.6 PPG, 6.2 RPG) was a pest to the Hoosiers in January with 12 points (6-of-10 FG), eight rebounds and four steals. He makes 56% FG for the season, and has drained 62% of his shots in five games since the IU meeting. C Adreian Payne (9.5 PPG, 7.0 RPG) had a huge game at Nebraska on Saturday with 15 points, 14 boards and three blocks, and was the team's best player in Bloomington last month, scoring 18 points (7-of-10 FG) with nine rebounds. Freshman SG Gary Harris (12.9 PPG) also shined against IU with a team-high 21 points on 6-of-13 FG (5-of-10 threes), which was the start of his 14.8 PPG average over the past six games.

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