GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS (30-22)
at UTAH JAZZ (30-24)
Tip-off: Tuesday, 9:05 p.m. ET
Line: Utah -3.5, Total: 203.5
Golden State is looking to change its fortunes on the road when it visits a tough road venue in Utah on Tuesday night.
The Warriors lost their final five games (SU and ATS) heading into the All-Star break, including all four contests during a Midwest road swing. During this five-game skid, Golden State has allowed a whopping 118.0 PPG on 49% FG. The Jazz remain one of the league's top teams at home, going 20-6 SU (77%) and 16-10 ATS (62%) at EnergySolutions Arena. They are also 11-5 SU (8-8 ATS) in their past 16 games, including a 109-94 pounding of Oklahoma City in their most recent home game last Tuesday. However, the Warriors are 6-1 ATS in games against the Jazz since the start of the 2011 calendar year, which includes a 4-0 ATS mark in matchups played at Utah, with the most recent game on Dec. 26 resulting in a 94-83 Golden State triumph. Although both guards Raja Bell (personal) and Mo Williams (thumb) remain out indefinitely for the Jazz, starting SG Gordon Hayward (shoulder) could return to action on Tuesday night.
Can the Warriors end their long losing streak on Tuesday? For the answer, connect to NBA Best Bets for all the Expert picks throughout the entire 2012-13 season. For NBA Best Bets, StatFox Scott is in the midst of a monster run, going 17-2 ATS (90%) since Feb. 3, and improving his record to an impressive 58% ATS (87-63-1) for the season. The experts are a collective 59% ATS (54-38) in the month of February. StatFox Gary is 70% ATS (7-3) since Feb. 5, and 60% ATS (9-6) for the month of February. For NBA Totals, the experts are a strong 46-33-1 (58%) in the past 20 days with Gary at 17-10 (63%) and StatFox Brian going 15-11-1 (58%) since Jan. 25. For the season, Scott is a whopping 57.1% (76-57) in Totals, while Gary is at 52% (68-63-4).
Golden State has been a great offensive team all season with 101.0 PPG (8th in NBA), on 45.6% FG (10th in league) and an NBA-high 39.3% threes. And although the defense allows 101.2 PPG (24th in NBA), opponents shoot a mere 44.0% FG, which is the sixth-best FG Pct. defense in the league. PG Stephen Curry (21.0 PPG, 6.6 APG, 4.0 RPG) struggled a bit after coming back from an ankle injury, but he played very well in his past three games with 25.7 PPG (45% FG, 41% threes), 6.0 APG and 5.7 RPG. Curry lit up Utah in that December meeting with 23 points, eight rebounds and seven assists. PF David Lee (19.0 PPG, 10.8 RPG, 3.8 APG) has a league-high 33 double-doubles, but has been slumping during this five-game skid, posting numbers well below his gaudy averages in these five contests (15.6 PPG, 8.4 RPG, 2.4 APG). He's been stronger than that in his career at Energy Solutions Arena with 16.1 PPG (54% FG) and 8.8 RPG in 10 career games in Salt Lake City. SG Klay Thompson (16.4 PPG, 3.9 RPG) needs to pick up the pace, has he's scoring just 13.4 PPG on 40% FG during the five-game skid, including 11.3 PPG on 39% FG in the four road tilts. PG Jarrett Jack (13.0 PPG, 5.8 APG) missed the final three games of that road trip with a shoulder injury, but returned last Tuesday to score 22 points with five assists in the home loss to Houston. Jack scored 15 points with a +14 rating in the win over Utah earlier this season.
The Jazz are above average in both scoring (98.3 PPG, 11th in NBA) and shooting (45.2% FG, 13th in league), but the team allows 98.6 PPG (18th in NBA) on 45.8% FG (20th in league). C Al Jefferson (17.5 PPG, 9.5 RPG) is the leader of this team, and is having a huge month of February with 19.8 PPG and 9.1 RPG. Jefferson posted a double-double of 18 points and 10 rebounds in the Dec. 26 loss to Golden State. His partner in the lane, PF Paul Millsap (15.1 PPG, 7.4 RPG) has also picked up his offensive game recently with 17.4 PPG (53% FG, 79% FT) in his past nine contests. The frontcourt is fine, but Utah needs a consistent backcourt player to be a complete team. SG Randy Foye (11.8 PPG) has been misfiring all season at 41% FG, a rate that has dipped to 33% FG over the past five games. SG Gordon Hayward (13.5 PPG) should be able to contribute right away despite his shoulder ailment, but he has never shot well against the Warriors, making just 9.1 PPG on 41% FG in his nine career meetings in this series. Foye and Hayward both made 3-of-10 shots in the home defeat to the Warriors in December. SF DeMarre Carroll (6.5 PPG) has been a nice find, scoring in double-figures in seven of the past eight games, and averaging 10.9 PPG on 54% FG during this span.