SAN ANTONIO SPURS (44-12)
at GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS (31-23)
Tip-off: Friday, 10:35 p.m. ET
Line: San Antonio -3, Total: 209.5
The Spurs look to continue their impressive road trip with a stop off in Golden State on Friday night.
San Antonio has started off its annual "rodeo" road trip with a 6-1 SU mark. Its current streak of five straight wins includes a 26-point romp over the Clippers on Thursday night, which gave the Spurs a 16-1 SU mark in the past 17 contests. The Warriors have been struggling, but finally ended a six-game losing skid with a 10-point win over Phoenix on Wednesday night. However, Golden State has been completely dominated in this series, losing 16 straight meetings with San Antonio.
Can the Spurs extend their long series win streak on Friday? For the answer, connect to NBA Best Bets for all the Expert picks throughout the entire 2012-13 season. For NBA Best Bets, StatFox Scott is in the midst of a monster run, going 22-6 ATS (79%) since Feb. 3, and improving his record to an impressive 58% ATS (92-67-1) for the season. The experts were a collective 11-3 ATS (79%) in the past two days and are now 60% ATS (69-47) in the month of February. StatFox Gary is 71% ATS (10-4) since Feb. 5, and 63% ATS (12-7) for the month of February. StatFox Brian is 4-1 ATS (80%) since the All-Star break. For NBA Totals, the experts are a profitable 49-43-1 (53.3%) in the past 21 days with Gary at 20-12 (63%) since Jan. 25. For the season, Scott is a strong 56% (76-61) in Totals, while Gary is at 52.2% (71-65-4).
San Antonio's offense has been outstanding during its 16-1 run, posting 103.8 PPG on 50% FG and 37% threes. The Spurs also boast the league's top road record at 22-10 SU (18-14 ATS), scoring a hefty 104.0 PPG on 48% FG and 38% threes away from home. The Spurs share the ball better than any other team in the NBA (25.1 APG) which leads to shooting percentages of 48.9% FG (2nd in league) and 38.4% threes (4th in NBA). Speaking of hot shooting, PG Tony Parker (21.2 PPG, 7.7 APG) has been on fire in the past six games, making 57.3% of his shots, while averaging 29.3 PPG and 8.7 APG. In Thursday's win over the Clippers, he scored 31 points on 12-of-16 FG, and he has usually shot well against Golden State too, scoring 19.0 PPG on 52% FG in 39 career games in this series. Because Thursday's game was such a blowout, PF Tim Duncan (16.8 PPG, 9.6 RPG) logged just 16 minutes, but still had a +20 rating. That should keep Duncan fresh to face a Warriors team he has dominated in his career (20.8 PPG, 11.5 RPG), including 24 points and 10 rebounds when these teams met on Jan. 18, a 95-88 win for the Spurs. SG Manu Ginobili (12.3 PPG, 4.5 APG) also received limited minutes (17) on Thursday, but still scored 10 points and pulled down five rebounds. He's also been difficult for Warriors players to guard over the years, scoring 16.0 PPG on 47% FG (41% threes) in 28 career games in this series. SG Danny Green (10.5 PPG) has been sizzling for the Spurs, making 56% FG and 33-of-59 threes (56%) in the past nine games, leading to a 16.3 PPG average. SF Kawhi Leonard (10.6 PPG, 5.4 RPG) has also been playing great basketball with 15.8 PPG (52% FG) and 6.3 RPG in his past eight games. He missed Thursday's contest with a knee injury though, and is questionable for Friday.
The Warriors have no problems on the offensive end with 101.1 PPG (8th in NBA) and 22.9 APG (9th in league), but they are a poor defensive club, giving up 101.4 PPG (26th in NBA), despite holding opponents to 44.1% FG (9th in NBA). But their recent struggles have been mostly on the road, as they are 17-7 SU (14-10 ATS) at home this season, thanks to 101.7 PPG on 47% FG and 41% threes. PG Stephen Curry (21.1 PPG, 6.6 APG) is starting to heat up, scoring 25.2 PPG on 48% FG (41% threes) in his past five games. He also had 11 assists and just two turnovers in Wednesday's win over Phoenix. Although his career numbers versus San Antonio aren't up to his usual standards (13.3 PPG on 45% FG), Curry scored 20 points on 7-of-11 FG while dishing out eight assists in last month's loss to the Spurs. PF David Lee (19.0 PPG, 10.8 RPG) also played well in that defeat with 22 points, six rebounds and seven assists, but his career numbers in this series are also not great (14.7 PPG, 8.8 RPG). Lee posted his league-leading 34th double-double on Wednesday with 19 points and 11 rebounds versus Phoenix. PG Jarrett Jack (13.3 PPG, 5.8 APG) has played incredible basketball since missing three games with an injury. In his three games since returning to the floor, he has 20.7 PPG (54% FG, 8-of-13 threes) and 6.0 APG. He also posted a double-double against the Spurs last month with 20 points and 10 assists. SG Klay Thompson (16.6 PPG, 4.0 RPG) is also starting to step up his game. After a subpar four-game road trip from Feb. 5-9 where he averaged 11.3 PPG on 38.8% FG, he has tallied 21.7 PPG on 50% FG with 6.0 RPG in the three games since.