GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS (33-24)
at NEW YORK KNICKS (33-20)
Tip-off: Wednesday, 8:05 p.m. ET
Line: New York -8, Total: 204.5
On Wednesday night, the Knicks will be going for their second straight win facing what could be a depleted Warriors team at Madison Square Garden.
New York just ended a four-game SU losing skid with a victory over Philadelphia on Sunday, but extended its ATS slide to seven straight contests (0-6-1 ATS). The Warriors had won three straight games before losing at Indiana on Tuesday in a game marred by a brawl after David Lee and Roy Hibbert were pushing one another. Golden State's two other top scorers, guards Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson both got involved in the skirmish and could be facing a suspension for this contest. The last time these teams met was Dec. 28, 2011 when the Warriors beat the Knicks 92-78 in Oakland. The story could be different here, however, as New York should have a full roster with both SF Carmelo Anthony (illness) and PG Raymond Felton (Achilles) listed as probable. The Knicks are 21-7 ATS when playing at home in the second half of the season over the past two seasons, and with Lee bothered by a shoulder injury, the Warriors may choose to guard Anthony with the smaller Harrison Barnes. But although Golden State is playing this game with zero rest and the Knicks have had two days off, the Warriors are 9-6 SU (8-7 ATS) in the second part of a back-to-back this season. They are also 15-6 SU (14-7 ATS) against Eastern Conference opponents this season.
Can the Knicks score a blowout victory on Wednesday night? For the answer, connect to NBA Best Bets for all the Expert picks throughout the entire 2012-13 season. For NBA Best Bets, StatFox Scott is in the midst of a monster run, going 27-9 ATS (75%) since Feb. 3, and improving his season record to an impressive 58.1% ATS (97-70-1). The experts are a collective 31-17 ATS (62%) in the past seven days and are now 59.3% ATS (89-61) in the month of February. StatFox Gary is a sizzling 8-2 ATS (80%) since Feb. 20, and 65.4% ATS (17-9) for the month of February. StatFox Dave is 62% ATS (8-5) in the past seven days, and StatFox Brian is 57% ATS (8-6) since the All-Star break. For NBA Totals, Scott is 5-1 (83%) in the past five days to raise his season mark to 57% (81-62) in Totals. Gary is 21-16 (57%) in NBA Totals since Jan. 25.
The Warriors need to take better care of the basketball, committing 21 TOPG so far on this five-game road trip. Golden State finished Tuesday's game with 20 turnovers compared to Indiana’s 12. PG Stephen Curry, who turned the ball over six times, was the only player producing for the Warriors. He had an unbelievable offensive performance, going 14-of-20 with 38 points and four assists. He was 7-for-10 from three-point range. PF David Lee ended the game with 12 points and 12 rebounds, but he had scored 20+ points in the two games prior to the Indiana matchup. One player who has really come on strong for the Warriors is PG Jarrett Jack, who is quietly one of the best sixth men in the league this season. Over the past five games, the backup point guard is averaging 23.0 PPG and 7.0 APG. With C Andrew Bogut out of the lineup, the Warriors will turn to their bench like they have most of this season, and Jack must continue to deliver to keep his team in this game.
The Knicks had been struggling severely before they got a much-needed victory over the 76ers. PF Amar’e Stoudemire has really come on strong for New York off the bench in the past two games, averaging 18.0 PPG and 5.5 RPG on 75% shooting from the field. Stoudemire has been highly efficient on offense for New York and will stick to playing under or around 30.0 MPG for the rest of the season, according to head coach Mike Woodson. SF Carmelo Anthony came up big against the 76ers with 29 points and seven rebounds. Anthony got into a scuffle with Spencer Hawes, but the two were restrained, and neither player was punished by the league. The Knicks are going to need better play out of their point guard position, as PG Jason Kidd has really struggled to shoot the ball this month (21% FG, 7-of-41 threes), while Raymond Felton is averaging only 3.5 APG over the past six games, a far cry from his 6.0 APG on the season. The Knicks offense has lacked fluidity recently and they need their guards to see the floor better for that to improve.