HOUSTON ROCKETS (33-29)
at GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS (35-27)
Tip-off: Friday, 10:35 p.m. ET
Line: Golden State -2, Total: 221
The Warriors will be looking for revenge when they take on the Rockets at home on Friday night.
Entering this game, the Warriors are on a two-game winning streak while the Rockets are coming off of a tough loss to the Mavericks on Wednesday to start this three-game road trip. There should be a quick turnaround for Houston, however, as it has thrived playing against the Warriors this season. So far this season, the Rockets are 2-0 SU against the Warriors, winning handily in both games, 140-109 in the first meeting and 116-107 in the most recent one. Houston is now 7-2 SU versus Golden State over the past three seasons, but the Warriors have won four straight home games (3-1 ATS) by an average of 6.8 PPG. Houston has dropped six of its past nine road tilts, posting a 1-4 SU mark at Western Conference arenas.
Can the Warriors finally beat the Rockets this season? For the answer, connect to NBA Best Bets for all the Expert picks throughout the entire 2012-13 season. All four experts have been on fire in NBA Best Bets. StatFox Gary is 90% ATS (9-1) in March and 81% ATS (17-4) since Feb. 20, StatFox Brian 82% ATS in March (9-2), including a perfect 6-0 ATS in the past four days, StatFox Scott is 65% ATS (32-17) since Feb. 3 and StatFox Dave is 57% ATS (4-3) in the past four days. Since February began, the experts are a collective 59.0% ATS (118-82), including 63% ATS (25-15) in March. Scott is now 57% ATS (102-78-1) for the season, while Gary is 54.1% ATS (80-68-4) and Brian is 52.1% ATS (99-91-3). For NBA Totals, Scott is catching fire with a 10-4-1 (71%) mark since Feb. 22 to raise his season record to 57.0% (86-65-1) in Totals.
Houston lost a devastating game in Dallas by a final score of 112-108, despite beating them just a game before. The Rockets like to play a similar up-tempo game compared to the Warriors, but with SG James Harden on the court they have by far the most dominant guard between these two guard-heavy rosters. Harden finished Wednesday's game with 28 points and nine assists, but he struggled shooting (5-17 FG). Harden was getting to the rim at will where he’d either get to the free throw line (16-16 FT) or find his teammates. He has also shot poorly against the Rockets this season (36% FG), but still has 22.5 PPG and 6.0 APG in the two meetings. SF Chandler Parsons added 23 points in Dallas, continuing his high-level play of late. Over the past five games, Parsons is averaging 24.0 PPG on 63% FG and 58% threes. He has emerged as one of Houston’s go-to players and has really made them a better team this season. PG Jeremy Lin is one player looking forward to the game against Golden State. In the two contests against the Warriors, Lin has finished with 14 points and 10 assists in one game and 28 points and nine assists in the next. Lin has done well attacking his former team (21.0 PPG, 9.5 APG this season) and definitely enjoys the up-and-down style of game this is destined to be.
The Warriors have won two straight games after a four-game losing streak, and that has been behind some stellar play at the point guard position from Stephen Curry. Over the past two games, Curry is averaging 19.5 PPG and 10.0 APG. He had been scoring 25+ in the week before while the Warriors were losing, but he took it upon himself to change some things and it is benefiting Golden State. Curry has 17.0 PPG on just 41.9% FG in the two losses to Houston this season. PF David Lee has been playing really well recently too. In the two Warriors wins, Lee is averaging 23.0 PPG, 10.5 RPG and 4.0 APG. Lee is an incredibly efficient offensive player, not because he shoots a good percentage, but because he is a great passing big man. He has 15.0 PPG, 9.5 RPG and 3.0 APG against Houston this season. SG Klay Thompson was the leading scorer for the Warriors in their last game Wednesday (87-83 win over Sacramento) with 20 points, but made just 6-of-17 shots. He had 22 points in the game before that and is starting to shoot the ball very well from long range with 15-of-27 threes (56%) in the past three games.