Welcome: Login to StatFox |  Register |  Login to FoxSheets
StatFox.com - Sports Handicapping Community

The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping

StatFox FoxSheets Made Easy - Part 1
By: Staff Writer  - StatFox
Published: 5/10/2006  at  8:00:00 AM
  Print This Article    

The StatFox FoxSheets present the handicapper an opportunity to have one solid screen of pertinent and useful information on your PC per game. With the amount of data available, we receive literally hundreds of calls a week about how to use and formulate this info into a working and useful tool. StatFox Doug has used the FoxSheets almost from the inception of the StatFox Company, long before he joined the StatFox team. Here is how he has been able to formulate them into functional, profitable tables for major league baseball. Please understand this is just one of the countless ways to use the FoxSheets, this is designed to provide the stimulus for you either to use yourself or to determine your own personal methods for success.

 

How to use FoxSheets MLB

The most important element is determining if the money line number is actually accurate in my opinion. MLB is a grind and you need to understand what the numbers mean. There are hundreds of ways to determine a Power Rating system if you will, here is the one I use to help me understand if I’m starting in the right spot. After possibly two or three weeks of the season, the numbers start to develop in a manner that is useful to check the lines. Here are the criteria I developed from the FoxSheets.

1) Teams winning percentage
2) Record over the last 7 games
3) Bullpen won/loss record (percentage)
4) Save percentage
5) Starting pitchers current record + record since 1997.(percentage)

I start with the team’s record, which is important because that is how they have played on the season. The last seven games give an indication of how each team has been playing lately. With fewer and fewer starting pitchers going deep into games, the bullpens importance has been enhanced tremendously. The bullpens win/lost record tells me about their performance to hold or lose leads during the course of the games and save percentage tells me about how they finish off games. The starting pitchers current record of course tells me how his performance and the historical number tell me about this pitcher against particular teams.

Here is what a game match-up would look like with the corresponding numbers from above.

4-17-06 – Cubs at Dodgers (Cubs-120)
Cubs                           Dodgers
1) 636                          462
2) 571                          428
3) 1000                        0
4) 1000                        600
5) 636                          428

Total - 3843                   1918

Early in the year, the numbers are somewhat less accurate given the number of games played. As this season moves forward the numbers become tighter and more accurate. Going into this game, the Cubs bullpen has been brilliant to start the season, explaining the max numbers in lines 3 and 4. Conversely, the Dodgers pen had already lost all 5 attempts and blown two of five save chances.

Now I take the Totals and divide by the number of lines, in this case 5.
3843 divided by 5 and 1918 divided by 5.

The Cubs new number becomes 768 and the Dodgers 383. Then I subtract the higher number against the lower.
768 – 383 = 385
 
I’ll use this number and divide by 2.
385 divided by 2 = 192.5
 
 
Look for Part 2 tomorrow.....
SBR: Over 750 Rated Sportsbooks
Tired of Losing? Get a Free 30 day trial.
8 Free Picks & Analysis from Sports Advisors
Top Consensus Picks ThePlatinumSheet.com

FoxSheets.com
The FoxSheets - the most advanced sports handicapping information available on the internet.

E-mail:   
Manage Subscriptions | Newsletter Archive