The NFL offers up a Thanksgiving feast of three games for fans and bettors to enjoy. The lineup features three of the top teams in the league, and three of the best quarterbacks as well. Not surprisingly, the pointspreads are reflective of those factors. Two of the games boast road favorites, and two are double-digit lines. Here's a look at each contest.

Green Bay at Detroit (12:30 PM – FOX)
Green Bay can take a huge step towards clinching the NFC North already with a win Thursday in Detroit. This Thanksgiving affair is the first of two huge back-to-back Thursday games for the Packers.

Incidentally, Green Bay is just 2-6 ATS in their L8 Thursday games. For Detroit, the holiday has not been festive in recent years as it has been blown out on three straight Thanksgivings, by an average of 23 PPG. In fact, the Lions last win in this spot was ‘03 vs. the Pack, 22-14, as a 7-point dog. Green Bay is a 3.5-point favorite, the first time it will play as road chalk under Mike McCarthy. His team is 4-0 SU & ATS away in ’07 and 9-3 SU & ATS in his tenure. Detroit has lost back-to-back games to fall to 6-4, but owns a 12-4 ATS mark hosting its division rival.

Interestingly, this is the battle for NFC North supremacy and neither team is from Chicago. Few could have anticipated such a matchup would be so entertaining and vital at the beginning of the season, but now a conference title and playoff dreams hang in the balance.

Green Bay has enjoyed the fruits of an outstanding young offensive line and their rushing attack may be joining suit despite troublesome injuries. The vigor and emotion of QB Brett Favre is keeping the youth around him focused, bringing it all together as one of the top threats in the NFC.

Detroit, led by a veteran QB of their own (Jon Kitna), has started to earn offensive balance of their own with the return of RB Kevin Jones. However, the onslaught of two of the best sack men in the game (Aaron Kampman, Kabeer Gbaja-Biamila) will make things as difficult as ever for the Lions.

The Packers can win on defense. Detroit wins despite theirs.

Keys to the Game - In the NFL, change is fast and furious and this game typifies just that. If Green Bay is really developing a semblance of a running game, this becomes an even more dangerous team. The matchup will be the Detroit offensive effort against the Packers’ solid defense. The Lions have played at a much more frenetic pace at Ford Field, scoring 30 points a game. Detroit receivers are equally as physical as the Pack’s cornerbacks which means the officials will play a part. The home team is 14-4 ATS in what is a must win game for the Lions.

Trends
Green Bay is 2-6 ATS when playing on a Thursday.
Detroit is 12-4 ATS hosting the Packers.

StatFox Power Rating: Green Bay -5

N.Y. Jets at Dallas (4:15 PM ET – CBS)
Dallas survived a tough game against Washington and now hosts what should be a much easier contest on Thanksgiving vs. the Jets. The Cowboys are a 14-point favorite, but the line figured to be much higher before Sunday’s New York upset of Pittsburgh.

In recent years, Dallas has fared better in its Turkey Day games vs. conference rivals, as it has lost three straight to the AFC in this spot, going 1-2 ATS. Overall, owner Jerry Jones’ team is on a 5-1 SU & 4-2 ATS run in non-conference tilts. The Jets have won ATS in two straight games after losing their prior five. However, they are on a 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS slump on the road. In their only opportunity as a double-digit dog under Eric Mangini, they beat New England on the road in ’06, 17-14.

The Jets are struggling in every way imaginable. Their banner free agent of the year, RB Thomas Jones, has been rendered useless by a struggling young offensive line. Meanwhile the work of veteran QB Chad Pennington, while efficient and intelligent, failed to meet the needs of a team often working from behind. As a result, the starting reigns have been handed to up-and-coming Kellen Clemens, not nearly as accurate but boasting a much strong arm.

On the other hand lie the Cowboys, enjoying the rise of a prodigious young QB (Tony Romo) heading the charge of all things right and good with a unit ranked as one of the best in the league. Supported by an outstanding offensive line, a rushing attack manned by two capable weapons of destruction (Marion Barber, Julius Jones), and list of skill-laden receivers, Romo’s efforts are earning more MVP talk than any other player in the NFC. Add a top-ranked defense and domination is the expectation.

Keys to the Game – Dallas’ best start since 1995 gives the Cowboys thoughts of Super Bowl aspirations. HC Wade Phillips’ laid-back approach is thought to be giving players more room to express themselves and play hard when he needs them to. Facing the Jets is not cause for inspiration, though the Cowboys are only 9-17-1 ATS working as double-digit favorites. It’s been a lost season for the Jets who have poor offensive line play that has manifested into weak efforts from the quarterbacks. The Flyboys have turned into the Lost Boys and are 4-11 SU and ATS in non-division away games.

Trends
N.Y. Jets are 8-1 OVER when they allow 350 to 400 total yards over the last two seasons.
Dallas is 8-4-1 ATS as a Thursday home favorite.

StatFox Game Estimator: Cowboys 36, NY Jets 17

Indianapolis at Atlanta (8:15 PM ET – NFL Network)
The final game of the Thanksgiving Day tripleheader matches the slumping Colts and Falcons from Atlanta. Defending champ Indianapolis has struggled of late, going 1-2 SU & ATS in its L3, much ado to a roster depleted by injury. The Colts are down several offensive weapons and the 13 points they scored in Sunday’s win over K.C. tied their fewest since Week 2 of 2005. They gained just 216 yards in that contest too, the lowest total in 48 games. That said, it was a win and Indy still sits atop the South Division, maintaining the #2 spot in the AFC. Here they are a 12-1/2 point favorite against a Falcons team that is on a 4-16 ATS run as a home dog. Atlanta is also just 1-10 ATS in its L11 second half games vs. teams with a winning record, outscored by 15.2 PPG.

The Colts represent everything you desire from a team you can love: They win, they have individual stars, and they are led by the admirable Tony Dungy. Unfortunately, they face a daunting list of injuries. DE Dwight Freeney, the Colt’s leader on defense, has been lost for the season. WR Marvin Harrison and TE Dallas Clark continue to battle for health, leaving Reggie Wayne alone to work with unproven commodities. Working out of a presnap huddle, an oddity for fast-paced Peyton Manning offenses, has been one of several signs of pending worry.

The Atlanta Falcons have come to represent everything Indy is not: Troubled, void of leadership, a bastion of inadequacy and a team presenting many more questions than answers. Last year’s strength, a vaunted rushing attack, has been all but nonexistent behind the work of an offensive line that can’t protect the passer. On defense, the talent to improve is there but lacks consistency as teams run free (allowing over 120 rushing yards per game) but opposing passers find life difficult (allowing an average QB rating of just 74.5).

Keys to the Game – With a depleted roster due to injury, having to play on a short week is a far from ideal for Tony Dungy’s club. Manning is not in sync with different receivers, throwing the timing sheme out of sorts. This may precipitate the Colts lean towards rushing, playing strong defense even against Atlanta. The Colts are 7-1 ATS before facing Jacksonville. The Falcons are playing marginally better and will need as stupendous effort from its O-Line to keep Joey Harrington upright against Colts’ pass rush. Birds are 4-16 ATS hosting team with winning record.

Trends
Indianapolis is 11-3 ATS in dome games over the last two years.
Atlanta is 8-23 ATS vs. offensive teams scoring 24 or more points per game in the second half of the season.

StatFox Outplay Factor Rating: Colts -18