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There is often a great deal of information in the context of trends that can be used and benefited from. This is especially true when these angles are in-season providing a current view of a team or pitcher, which is a strong indicator of why they are where they are in the standings. Here is a look at today’s top trends on the baseball circuit.
BOSTON is 15-0 (+15 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 or more this season.
If a bettor wants to play this Red Sox team, they are going to have to pay extra on the money line with Boston owning the finest home record in baseball at 26-6, garnering +19.1 units. Boston is punishing teams in this role, winning by over four runs a game and sends Josh Beckett (4-0 at Fenway) to the mound against Baltimore, whom they have beaten 14 of the last 18 at home. This game starts an hour earlier, so New Englanders can watch Celtics in Game 3. FREE Foxsheet available for this AL East encounter.
DETROIT is 2-13 (-14.5 Units) against the money line off a loss to a division rival as a favorite this season.
To call Detroit a disappointment, is like saying Hillary Clinton is generally unhappy she didn’t win Democratic nomination. The toothless Tigers are the second best Play Against team in baseball at -18.1 units. The offense shows them as 12th in runs scored, but in 25 (39.6 percent) games, they have scored two or less runs and been shutout 10 times already. Nate Robertson gets the call for the Tigers as a +105 underdog and he and his teammates are is 1-10 at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last three seasons. How can the Tigers be underdogs at home? Maybe because tonight’s opponent, division leader, the Chicago White Sox are 8-1 in June, winning by four runs a game.
FLORIDA is 15-3 (+13.4 Units) against the money line after four or more consecutive home games this season.
This will be a good test for second place Florida to determine if they really will be contender in the NL East, taking on first place Philadelphia. The Marlins are off frustrating split with Cincinnati and need to win series to stay in contact with the Phillies. To date, the Fish have shown the ability to play extremely well when at home for extended period. Bookmaker.com has the Phils as -120 road favorites, in spite of tonight’s starter Brett Myers being is 1-8 (-9.1 Units) against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last two seasons. Florida is on 15-0-2 OVER run in last 17 outings.
NY METS are 4-19 (-18.6 Units) against the money line after three or more consecutive road games this season.
Tension will once again be running high in the Big Apple, with the Mets completing dismal 2-5 road, which concluded by losing four straight to suddenly sprightly San Diego. At least they return to Shea to take on an Arizona who is 3-13 in last six road contests and has not won a road series since late April.
CHICAGO CUBS are 20-4 (+14.5 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season.
There is still a great deal of joy in Wrigleyville, as the Cubs return home with the best record in baseball. This is no fluke either, as Chicago has the best run differential in the majors at +91. To the joy of faithful in Cubbie Blue, home wins have been plentiful and they will face the worst road team in baseball in the Atlanta Braves, who are 7-21 with depleted roster. Don’t look for Atlanta to mount a great charge, being 21-6-1 UNDER as a visitor, scoring 3.7 runs per game.
TEXAS is 16-3-1 OVER (+13.4 Units) against AL Central opponents this season.
After a .500 homestand, Texas hits the road starting in Kansas City. The Rangers are 10-10 facing AL Central, playing high scoring affairs, with average total runs scored per game being 14.4. Texas leads the major leagues in runs scored at 5.6 a game and the Royals should mount an attack facing a mediocre group of starters and a bullpen that has a gut-wrenching ERA of 5.36.
TIM REDDING is 10-2 (+9.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season.
Washington opened a new ballpark to start the year and the excitement level has dropped for that point. One bright spot has been pitcher Tim Redding, who has stayed healthy (rare commodity for Nationals’ starters) and performed fairly well. In spite of being backed by an offense that scores just 3.6 RPG (30th), Redding has kept his team in games and he and the Nats are shocking 7-1 (+7.47 units) as underdogs this season. Redding and Washington can improve on this number being +135 road dogs at Pittsburgh. |
