Playoff bound Arizona will host the Colorado Crush in this Monday Night ESPN football game. The Rattlers have won their last four games straight up and against the spread and will have little ambition to make this game a blowout as they have secured the home field and the number three seed during the open round of the playoffs. Does that make the Crush the play at +4.5 tonight? Not necessarily says StatFox Dave. Read on as he sits in for StatFox Doug and gives his thoughts on the Monday night Arena game.

The Crush on the other hand need to win this game to have a chance to make the playoffs, even with the win the Crush will need help from the other teams to make the playoffs this year. The Crush has lost their last five games straight up and against the spread. The media is making this game a must win for John Elway’s club.

Dave’s Betting Action

Arizona opened as a 6.5 favorite but the line has fallen all week until a bottom of 4.5. It looks like the betting experts think the Crush will pull the upset in this must win game. The rationale makes sense as the Rattlers have nothing to play for and the Crush need the win to have a chance to make the playoffs. Seeing as how Colorado has just been awful of late and is yielding an outlandish 65.1 PPG on the road, Dave is going to fade the action tonight and take the home team.

Here are some of Dave’s key Wagering Trends to look at when considering Arizona:

* Head Colorado Coach Mike Daily is 0-6 ATS and SU on Monday Night Football.
* Arizona is 5-1 this season ATS versus bad scoring defenses giving up 55 or more points
* Arizona is 5-1 this season ATS when playing a team with a losing record.
* Colorado is 2-9 ATS when they allow 15-30 rushing yards in over the last 2 seasons.
* Colorado is 1-9 ATS in all games when they rush for less than 15 yards this season.
* Colorado is 1-7 in all games when they allow 260-310 total yards this season.

Play: Arizona    -4.5