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WNBA Top Weekend Systems and Trends
By: Doug Upstone - StatFox
Published: 7/18/2008  at  6:26:00 PM
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Seattle has been streaking winning six straight and covering each contest. They will have mettle tested with four-game road trip. Connecticut has gone the other way, losing four in a row, failing to cover the spread each time and has only covered one contest in last eight. The Sun will be slight road favorites at Chicago Friday night, which happen to be our Free FoxSheet. Expansion Atlanta after starting 0-17 (6-11 ATS), has won three of five, covering oddsmakers number on four occasions.

Bet you didn’t know………..


Friday, July18

Detroit at Washington

Washington is the lowest scoring team in the WNBA at 68.4 points per game and in the past, these types of teams are suited for Play Against role as an underdog, after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, having a winning percentage of 25 to 40 percent, playing a team with a winning record. This system has produced fine results being 30-8 ATS since 1997.

Seattle at Indiana

Seattle has won and covered six games in a row, with only one being on the road. The previous contest was last Saturday, as they embark on four-game road trip. In this situation, Play Against a hot team, having covered six or seven of their last eight contests against the spread, when they are well-rested, playing three or less games in 10 days. In the last three seasons, this system is 10-2 ATS, 83.3 percent.

Connecticut at Chicago

Chicago is a two-point home underdog with a total of 148.5 at Bookmaker.com In this contest, look to Play UNDER on road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points in a game involving two good ball handling teams, who commit 14.5 or less turnovers. after 15 or more games on the season. This method has been a winner 32 of 41 times in the last 11 seasons.

Atlanta at Sacramento

This system might be hard to explain from sensible standpoint, but who cares as long as it wins. Play On home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Sacramento with a losing record after 15 or more games, hosting an opponent on Friday nights. The record on this beauty is 28-5 ATS, 84.8 percent.

Saturday, July 19

Indiana at New York

Indiana gave a bad defensive effort in losing to Atlanta at home 81-77, making them a Play On team since they have average defensive (65-72 PPG) going against a bad defensive team like New York, who allows more than 76 PPG, after allowing 80 points or more. This system is terrific 25-4 ATS.

Minnesota at San Antonio

Both Minnesota and San Antonio were involved in shootouts in last contest; however this game favors the Silver Stars as favorites after allowing 80 points or more against opponent after scoring 80 points or more. This season alone, this system is 13-3, 81.2 percent.

Atlanta at Phoenix

With Atlanta and Phoenix the two worst defensive teams in the WNBA, Play Over on road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 points after having covered two of their last three against the spread, with a losing record. Since 2004, this total has gone Over 27 of 33 times.

Los Angeles at Houston

Houston’s defense has become an issue, but it might not be in this spot, with idea to Play On any team after allowing 40 points or more in the first half in two straight games against opponent after scoring 80 points or more. This system has been clicking along at 74.2 percent rate with 49-17 ATS record.

Sunday, July 20

Chicago at Connecticut

The Sky is 16-6 ATS where both teams score 71 or more points in a game over the last two seasons.

The Sun is 8-3 as home favorite, yet only 4-7 ATS in 2008.

Seattle at Washington

The Storm is 6-15 ATS in road games in May, June, or July games over the last two seasons.

The Mystics are 31-50 ATS after playing three consecutive games as an underdog.

Sacramento at Detroit

The Monarchs are 7-1 ATS when both teams score 71 or more points in a game this season.

The Shock is 31-18 OVER after playing a game as favorite over the last two seasons.


System plays courtesy of the FoxSheets.

 

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