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This whole Brett Favre situation has really taken a turn for the worse it seems. What is most troubling is both sides are essentially talking about same elements that have occurred, with each interrupting the events in their own way. Both sides have valid points and I have no idea how this will be solved. Sportsbook.com and other wagering outlets have had odds published for prop bets on Favre like:
* Favre comes to camp
* Favre is traded
* Favre is released
“Brought to camp” has run just over 1/1 and “traded” has been running just under the same odds. Favre being traded is about 4/1, however this might be picking up momentum with the NFL Network reporting Green Bay is now fielding calls to find out about potential suitors.
Those reporting in the media seem to be on board with Rodgers deserves chance since Favre retired, hard to disagree with that sentiment. Brett backers can’t get enough of this long time warrior and would support him if he threw a 100 interceptions (receivers just ran wrong routes, wink).
O.K. seeing I’m the feature writer for StatFox, I should have opinion and do, though it’s different from what I believed a couple of weeks. Still being a Packers season ticket holder (Milwaukee version), I initially supported management, knowing I was a Green Bay fan before #4 and will be one after he leaves. I do feel for Aaron Rodgers, this does stink after all this time, but last I looked, life is like Forrest Gump said.
As a supporter of the team and one who pays annually for tickets, I expect them to provide fans with the best chance to win possible, period. If this situation comes to complete impasse, coach Mike McCarthy should declare quarterback position open. That’s right, Favre quit of his own volition, team needed commitment and he could not deliver, giving his best answer at the time. The Packers went with Rodgers, who is the best available quarterback on the roster. Rodgers feels he deserves to be starter, Favre believes he’s proven (rightfully) he shouldn’t be backup. Have open competition in camp and let the best player earn the job.
Some will find this outrageous, before you completely pass judgment, think of the real world. A long time vice president in charge of corporate affairs decides to retire. He’s tired, had enough and wants to relax and spend time with family. He soon realizes he’s bored stiff, his family is never around since they have own lives and decides he wants to come back to work at same job. Of course after he retired, a new person was put in his place with former employer and though might not be as good today, hard to determine long term prospects since this individual just essentially started. If he wants to come back with this company, he’s likely to take a pay cut and lesser job, it’s his choice.
As true competitors, both would be asked to perform at their best. While Rodgers might feel the situation is weighted against him, too bad, should have played better at Cal and been a higher draft choice. If Rodgers is truly the right QB for what ended up being the second best team in the NFC last season, show the coaches what your worth. Having previously lived in the state of the frozen tundra for many years, winning with Favre would be great, but winning with Rodgers will work also.
With Jason Taylor now a member of the Washington Redskins, a solid prop wager comes to mind. How many sacks will Taylor have as a member of his new team? In trying to determine correct number, the Dancing with the Stars personality has averaged 10.6 sacks a season in his career, which included being just a pass rusher early in his days with Miami. Since the new millennium, Taylor has averaged 12.5 sacks in last eight seasons. Best guess 11 would be a fair number for Over/Under wager and I’d take the Over, seeing how motivated he will be to show Bill Parcels he can dance around tackles and plant opposing quarterbacks on the ground.
Jeremy Shockey’s trade to New Orleans did not send shock waves throughout the NFL. Shockey, though a good not great player, had become a nuisance with his often selfish ways and T.0.-lite griping style about not getting the ball or wanting to be more a focus in the offense. Shockey getting hurt, did not enhance nor detour the Giants chances of winning the Super Bowl last season. Nonetheless, he was on less distraction in the locker room and his absence probably only helped team unity at that critical juncture.
With Kevin Boss the likely starting tight end based on last year’s performance, two more prop wagers come to mind. What would be a good number for Boss in Over/Under wager for catches for Boss? Shockey averaged almost 62 in his six seasons with the Giants. The number would have to be less, since Boss is better blocker, maybe 48-50? If we settle on 50 and say Shockey is 100 percent ready by opening game in the Crescent City and plays to previous levels, what next? This is your prop wager to consider, what is more likely to come first, Boss catches 50 passes or Shockey catches 61? Hmmmm…
From time to time like to inform readers about certain benefits. For those that read my material, I try to find winning tidbits of information and often encourage readers to consider purchasing the FoxSheets. While it is understood this has shill-qualities which I understand, let me remind those not familiar, I had purchased the FoxSheets three consecutive years before working for StatFox, thus my true interest is finding winning nuggets of information to pass along to you. One really almost hidden quality of these pages this season is the Line Tracker feature in baseball. How I use this element is take bold print names of teams with a minimum of 10 games within given category. From the start of the season to May 24, a pedestrian record of 20-19, -0.30 units had been counted. Since that time, dramatically better. Starting the next day until today July 23, the numbers are 79-55, +22.20 units. This includes both money lines and totals, pretty solid for something so simple. For your thoughts on this article, send email to dupstone@statfox.com.
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