(Courtesy - Playbook.com) ~ The last game of the season can be meaningful for college football teams in need of respect. From a handicapping perspective, this especially holds true when our squad that is about to check out meets these 'value laden' criteria:

a) they must have won 2 or fewer games last season
b) they are on the road, without rest, in their season finale
c) they own a win percentage of .200 > this season
d) their opponent's win percentage is .444 < this season

By combining all the factors above our ‘see ya later’ sad sacks are a nifty 36-21-1 ATS since 1980. There are two qualifying ‘Sayonara’ teams on this season’s schedule: UNLV this week and UAB next Saturday.

By simply going up against a foe that allows 27.5 > PPG, and making sure we allow < 34 PPG, we improve our numbers to 19-7-1 ATS. And by making sure our opponent did not win two games ago by 10 or more points, we ratchet our record up to 19-4-1 ATS. UNLV qualifies this week.

While neither the Rebels nor the Blazers will be bowling this season, this year’s teams certainly improved leaps and bounds over last year’s editions. A season-ending pointspread win would be the Saki-making statement to that effect!

Marc Lawrence
PLAYBOOK.com