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Top MLB Weekend Power Trends 7/3-7/5
By: Steve Makinen - StatFox
Published: 7/3/2009  at  9:00:00 AM
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Major League Baseball reaches its halfway point of the 2009 season this weekend, and with the 4th of July holiday upon us, the sport will celebrate our Independence with a full slate of games. While the action doesn’t match any division leaders, or current playoff teams versus one another, there are still several intriguing series’ in which chasing clubs will be trying to make up key ground in various races. We’ll look a bit closer at some of those pairings. All three days this weekend will offer numerous baseball betting opportunities, so get prepared by utilizing our weekly Top StatFox Power Trends feature. You’ll find that at the conclusion of this piece. Good luck.

In the American League, two key series’ will garner most of the attention. In Minnesota, the Twins host the Tigers for three games, hoping to close the 3-game gap separating the clubs in the A.L. Central Division. As usual, the Twins gained some momentum by breezing through the N.L. in Interleague play, going 12-6. They will look to pick up where they left off back in mid-May against Detroit, when they swept the Tigers in three games. The current Central leaders are struggling a bit offensively, having topped the 5-run mark just four times in the last 20 games.

The other key A.L. series matches the Rays and Rangers from Arlington. Tampa bay, the defending A.L. champion, looked the part in a fabulous month of June, going 19-7 to move to 9-games over .500. However, the Rays still have a lot of ground to make up in the East Division, as Boston is setting a steady pace. The Rangers are still hanging around the top of the A.L. West and should get a huge boost this weekend with the expected return of Josh Hamilton to the lineup. Without him, they were 19-7 UNDER the total in June.

In the National League, the scuffling Cubs will continue a 4-game set against Milwaukee at Wrigley. In each of the past two years, Chicago used a home series around this time against the division-leading Brewers to build momentum. They will be looking for answers at the plate, as after leading the N.L. in runs scored in ’08, Chicago bats are hitting just .245 and producing just 4.15 runs per game. Milwaukee isn’t exactly lighting up the scoreboard, but is getting a reliable effort from its rebuilt bullpen. The Brewers have been solid on the road this season, and boasted a 21-10 record against divisional foes heading into Thursday’s series opener.

The other key series to keep an eye on is in Philadelphia, where the Phillies welcome divisional rival New York for 3-games. The Mets have floundered without three of their biggest bats in the lineup and were just 9-18 in the month of June, yet because Philly hasn’t played well either, remain in striking distance. The Phillies will be looking to re-establish some home field advantage, as they have been horrific for bettors as hosts, going 13-22 while losing 17.9 units to date. The Mets own a 3-2 lead in the season series.

There’s other great action on the diamond to choose from as well. Be sure to take advantage of all the great info StatFox has on its FREE Matchup pages, then when you’re ready to take that next step toward baseball betting stardom, head over to the FoxSheets and put trends like these to work for you everyday:

MILWAUKEE at CHICAGO CUBS

  • MILWAUKEE is 21-10 (+10.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season. The average score was MILWAUKEE 5.3, OPPONENT 4.0 - (Rating = 1*)

    PITTSBURGH at FLORIDA

  • FLORIDA is 21-4 OVER (+17.6 Units) when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons. The average score was FLORIDA 4.8, OPPONENT 6.0 - (Rating = 4*)

    ATLANTA at WASHINGTON

  • WASHINGTON is 9-27 (-16.6 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was WASHINGTON 3.7, OPPONENT 5.2 - (Rating = 1*)

    NY METS at PHILADELPHIA

  • PHILADELPHIA is 13-22 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season. The average score was PHILADELPHIA 4.7, OPPONENT 5.7 - (Rating = 3*)

    ST LOUIS at CINCINNATI

  • ST LOUIS is 17-8 (+11.1 Units) against the money line vs. a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better over the last 2 seasons. The average score was ST LOUIS 4.4, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 1*)

    ARIZONA at COLORADO

  • ARIZONA is 33-54 (-26.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. The average score was ARIZONA 4.3, OPPONENT 4.8 - (Rating = 2*)

    LA DODGERS at SAN DIEGO

  • LA DODGERS are 25-9 (+16.0 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.8 or more runs/game on the season this season. The average score was LA DODGERS 5.9, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 2*)

    HOUSTON at SAN FRANCISCO

  • HOUSTON is 39-16 UNDER (+21.2 Units) vs. NL teams allowing 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was HOUSTON 3.5, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 2*)

    TORONTO at NY YANKEES

  • TORONTO is 35-23 (+12.4 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.The average score was TORONTO 4.8, OPPONENT 3.2 - (Rating = 1*)

    OAKLAND at CLEVELAND

  • CLEVELAND is 9-15 (-9.8 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this season. The average score was CLEVELAND 3.8, OPPONENT 5.0 - (Rating = 1*)

    SEATTLE at BOSTON

  • SEATTLE is 18-6 UNDER (+11.3 Units) vs. a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better over the last 2 seasons. The average score was SEATTLE 3.6, OPPONENT 4.0 - (Rating = 1*)

    TAMPA BAY at TEXAS

  • TAMPA BAY is 20-46 (-21.9 Units) against the money line in road games vs. a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 3 seasons. The average score was TAMPA BAY 4.1, OPPONENT 5.1 - (Rating = 2*)

    CHI WHITE SOX at KANSAS CITY

  • CHI WHITE SOX are 16-7 (+10.1 Units) against the money line vs. a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 this season. The average score was CHI WHITE SOX 5.5, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 1*)

    DETROIT at MINNESOTA

  • MINNESOTA is 38-16 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons. The average score was MINNESOTA 5.6, OPPONENT 4.0 - (Rating = 1*)

    BALTIMORE at LA ANGELS

  • LA ANGELS are 34-15 (+17.5 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was LA ANGELS 5.3, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 1*)

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