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The NFL “open dates” start next weekend and if you’ve been around StatFox or the Platinum Sheet the last few seasons, you’ve probably been anxiously awaiting the annual articles highlighting the top team trends for pre- and post-bye week games. Well, wait no more, as that time has come. In what will be a two-part article with the second half to be released in about a month, I have highlighted 68 different bye week angles, covering 48 different games between weeks 3 and 11 on the NFL schedule. Four of the games affected are on tap for this weekend. These articles in 2007 & 2008 make up half of the top six most read articles in StatFox history. I hope to make this year’s releases #1 & #2. If you haven’t ever studied teams’ performances in and out of the bye week, what you’ll see here should open your eyes. Hopefully it will expand your bankroll as well, as all of these 68 different powerful ATS or Over-Under trends boast winning percentages of at least 70% or at most 30%. I’ve decided to break this piece into two simply because of the volume of information and because it has such shelf life. This first part will cover games from Week 3 through Week 7. Be sure to save or bookmark this page to refer back to for future reference, then make sure to check back for the second half of the piece the week of October 26th, covering games in Weeks 8-11. Enjoy the information, and good luck. Week 3
9/27/09 - (405) KANSAS CITY at (406) PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA has not done well in the game before the bye week, 3-7 SU & 2-7-1 ATS since '00.
UNDERDOGS are 12-2-1 ATS in PHILADELPHIA's L15 pre-bye week games.
Play on: KANSAS CITY ATS9/27/09 - (417) ATLANTA at (418) NEW ENGLAND
ATLANTA is 7-3 SU & 9-1 ATS in pre-bye week games since '01.
Play on: ATLANTA SU & ATS9/27/09 - (429) INDIANAPOLIS at (430) ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 5-0-1 OVER the total in its L6 pre-bye week games
Play on: OVER THE TOTAL9/28/09 - (431) CAROLINA at (432) DALLAS
UNDERDOGS have covered 12 straight CAROLINA pre-bye week games.
CAROLINA is 6-1 ATS in its L7 pre-bye week games on the road.
Play on: CAROLINA ATSWeek 4
10/4/09 - (211) DETROIT at (212) CHICAGO
Prior to its '08 win, CHICAGO has lost seven straight pre-bye week games ATS.
Play on: DETROIT ATS10/4/09 - (217) NY JETS at (218) NEW ORLEANS
UNDERDOGS are on a 9-1-1 ATS run in NEW ORLEANS pre-bye week games.
Play on: UNDERDOG ATS10/4/09 - (225) SAN DIEGO at (226) PITTSBURGH
HOME TEAMS are 5-1 SU & 6-0 ATS in the L6 SAN DIEGO pre-bye week contests.
OVER has been the total result in 11 of the L14 SAN DIEGO pre-bye week games.
Play on: PITTSBURGH SU & ATS and OVER THE TOTAL10/5/09 - (227) GREEN BAY at (228) MINNESOTA
FAVORITES are 5-1-1 ATS in the GREEN BAY's L7 pre-bye week games.
Play on: FAVORITE ATSWeek 5
10/11/09 - (403) DALLAS at (404) KANSAS CITY
DALLAS is on a run of 9-2 ATS in pre-bye week games.
Play on: DALLAS ATS10/11/09 - (405) WASHINGTON at (406) CAROLINA
FAVORITES are 6-1 SU & ATS in CAROLINA's L7 post-bye week games.
UNDER the total is 5-1 in CAROLINA's L6 post-bye week games.
Play on: FAVORITE ATS and UNDER THE TOTAL10/11/09 - (407) TAMPA BAY at (408) PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA has gone UNDER the total in 10 straight post-bye week games.
PHILADELPHIA has won 11 straight post-bye week games and is 9-2 ATS in the process.
Play on: PHILADELPHIA SU & ATS and UNDER THE TOTAL10/11/09 - (417) ATLANTA at (418) SAN FRANCISCO
Favorites are 8-3 ATS in ATLANTA's L11 post-bye week games.
ATLANTA is 9-0-2 UNDER the total in post-bye week games since '99.
Play on: FAVORITE ATS and UNDER THE TOTAL10/11/09 - (421) HOUSTON at (422) ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 11-3 UNDER the total in post-bye week games since '94
Play on: UNDER THE TOTAL10/11/09 - (425) INDIANAPOLIS at (426) TENNESSEE
INDIANAPOLIS is 9-1 ATS in its L10 pre-bye week road games.
Play on: INDIANAPOLIS ATS10/12/09 - (427) NY JETS at (428) MIAMI
UNDERDOGS are 8-1 ATS in MIAMI's L9 pre-bye week games.
Play on: UNDERDOG ATSWeek 6
10/18/09 - (215) BALTIMORE at (216) MINNESOTA
UNDERDOGS have gone 4-0 ATS in BALTIMORE's L4 pre-bye week games.
BALTIMORE is 6-1 UNDER the total in pre-bye week games since '02.
Play on: UNDER DOG ATS and UNDER THE TOTAL10/18/09 - (217) ST LOUIS at (218) JACKSONVILLE
JACKSONVILLE has been a strong pre-bye week team of late, going 4-0 SU & ATS in L4, outscoring opponents by 15.8 PPG.
Play on: JACKSONVILLE SU & ATS10/18/09 - (219) NY GIANTS at (220) NEW ORLEANS
NEW ORLEANS is on a 1-5 ATS slide in post-bye week games, including 0-3 SU & ATS under Sean Payton.
Play on: NY GIANTS SU & ATS10/18/09 - (223) DETROIT at (224) GREEN BAY
DETROIT has lost five straight pre-bye week games, both SU & ATS, average score 33-11.
HOME TEAMS are 12-2 SU & 11-3 ATS in DETROIT's L14 pre-bye week games.
Play on: GREEN BAY SU & ATS10/18/09 - (227) ARIZONA at (228) SEATTLE
HOME TEAMS have won eight straight SEATTLE pre-bye week games and are 6-2 ATS in that span.
Play on: SEATTLE SU & ATS10/18/09 - (231) TENNESSEE at (232) NEW ENGLAND
TENNESSEE has won six of its L7 pre-bye week games, both SU & ATS.
Play on: TENNESSEE SU & ATS10/19/09 - (235) DENVER at (236) SAN DIEGO
DENVER is just 2-7 ATS in its L9 pre-bye week games on the road AND vs division opponents.
DENVER is 8-2-1 OVER the total in its L11 pre-bye week games.
Play on: SAN DIEGO ATS and OVER THE TOTALWeek 7
10/25/09 - (413) SAN DIEGO at (414) KANSAS CITY
KANSAS CITY is 6-2 SU & 6-1-1 ATS in its L8 pre-bye week games vs. divisional foes.
Play on: KANSAS CITY SU & ATS10/25/09 - (415) INDIANAPOLIS at (416) ST LOUIS
INDIANAPOLIS has scored 33.4 PPG in its L10 post-bye week games, going 9-1 OVER.
Play on: OVER THE TOTAL10/25/09 - (417) CHICAGO at (418) CINCINNATI
ROAD TEAMS are 6-2 ATS in CINCINNATI pre-bye week games since '01.
Play on: CHICAGO ATS10/25/09 - (421) MINNESOTA at (422) PITTSBURGH
UNDERDOGS & ROAD TEAMS are 6-1 ATS in the L7 PITTSBURGH pre-bye week games.
Play on: MINNESOTA ATS10/25/09 - (423) NEW ENGLAND at (424) TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is on a 6-1 SU & ATS roll in pre-bye week games.
Play on: TAMPA BAY SU & ATS10/25/09 - (425) SAN FRANCISCO at (426) HOUSTON
HOME TEAMS are 8-1 SU & ATS in SAN FRANCISCO post-bye week games since '01.
SAN FRANCISCO has lost five straight post-bye week games and is 1-4 ATS.
The OVER has converted on 10 straight SAN FRANCISCO post-bye week totals.
Play on: HOUSTON SU & ATS and OVER THE TOTAL10/25/09 - (433) ATLANTA at (434) DALLAS
ROAD TEAMS are 6-0 SU & ATS in DALLAS' L6 post-bye week games.
DALLAS has won & covered four straight post-bye week games, all on the road though.
Play on: ATLANTA SU & ATS10/26/09 - (437) PHILADELPHIA at (438) WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON has struggled offensively going into the bye week, scoring 13.4 PPG in its L10, resulting in eight UNDER's.
Play on: UNDER THE TOTAL
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