Did Nevada really get shutout by Notre Dame 35-0 in first game? Since that game, the Wolf Pack has played up to expectations and are totaling 39.5 points per game in last seven contests. Nevada is trying to go unscathed in WAC action, setting up season ending showdown at Boise. First they will contend with San Jose State.

After bowl season in 2006, San Jose State hasn’t been able to capitalize with better talent and is 1-6 and 2-5 ATS on the season. The Spartans lost at Boise State 45-7 last week and they are 31-61 ATS when they allow 28 or more points.

To say the situation favors Nevada (5-3, 3-5 ATS) is an understatement. The Wolf Pack behind quarterback Colin Kaepernick lead the nation in rushing at 319.1 yards per game and staggering 7.1 yard per carry. San Jose, well they rank 118th in the country against the run, yielding 242.7 yards per game. Nevada has won seven straight in this series and is 6-1 ATS against as favorites.

San Jose State is -4 in turnover margin and this desperate club has to create Nevada mistakes, since they are unlikely to stop their offense. The Wolf Pack’s pass defense can be generously described as abysmal, conceding 309 yards per content (another 118th ranking for the WAC matchup) which should open lots of room for WR Kevin Jurovich to have humongous game. Off the Boise State beat-down, the Spartans are 8-0 ATS at home after scoring nine points or less last game.

Sportsbook.com has Nevada favored by 14 points with total of 62. They are 0-6 ATS off a home win against WAC rival over the last three seasons. San Jose is 4-16 ATS off two consecutive road losses.

ESPN has the telecast at 8:30 Eastern with Nevada falling into terrible system. Play Against favorites of 10.5 to 21 points off a home win, a good team (60 to 80 win percentage) playing a terrible team (25 or less win percentage). The system is 24-4 ATS, 85.7 percent.

StatFox Power Line –Nevada by 9
StatFox Forecaster – Nevada covers