It may seem difficult to comprehend, but Colorado at 4-8 (3-9 ATS) has a much better chance of making the AFL playoffs than Monday’s opponent New York at 6-6 (6-5-1 ATS). How could this possibly be, the American Conference has only three teams with winning records and Colorado actually has the fourth best (?) record in that conference. New York has three teams in their own division that have a better record than they do.

After putting together a five-game winning streak, the Dragons have lost two in a row to drop to .500. Veteran Arena Football watchers would believe a team quarterbacked by Aaron Garcia would score bountiful points, but a continually reshuffled offensive line has held them back and New York is 14th in points at only 51 per game.

Colorado is a wreck, as QB John Dutton and his receivers are a bad mix. The Crush wideouts have speed and athleticism, nonetheless, have issues getting off the line of scrimmage and can be taken off routes with more physical defensive backs. With Dutton having limited mobility, the Colorado timing offense has been out-of-sync most of the season in scoring 50.3 PPG and just over 41 points a game in last three losses. The Crush is 3-11 ATS off one or more consecutive Unders over the last two seasons.

Though New York is 2-4 and 1-4-1 ATS on the road, Sportsbook.com has installed the Dragons as 1.5-point favorites with Total of 102.

New York’s third ranked defense is tailor-made to stop Colorado attack and is in splendid system to come away winner. In this situation, PLAY AGAINST home underdogs or a Pick, after one or more consecutive straight up losses, in June games. This system is stately 9-1 ATS the last three years.

As usual, this AFL Monday night encounter will be on ESPN2 starting at 8 Eastern and this is a little bit of a character game and it will be interesting to see which team is up to the challenge.

StatFox Power Line – Colorado by 1

StatFox Edge – New York covers

Season Record - 33-19-2 (63.4 percent)