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The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping


Driver Ratings

StatFox Driver Ratings are based on a weighted combination of 3 factors. The first is the drivers finishing position in recent races. The second factor is the driver's average qualifying position in recent races. Finally, the drivers ability to finish the race (DNF index) is factored. To calculate hypothetical race odds, determine the sum of the ratings of all drivers participating in a race. A driver's odds of winning are approximately equal to their rating divided by the sum of ratings of all participants.


RankDriverRating
1 Denny Hamlin 135.68
2 Chase Elliott 65.91
3 William Byron 58.64
4 Kyle Larson 56.21
  Joey Logano 56.21
6 Kevin Harvick 45.71
7 Kyle Busch 39.24
8 Martin Truex 30.35
9 Austin Dillon 27.93
10 Ryan Blaney 26.31
11 Brad Keselowski 22.27
12 Chris Buescher 11.73
13 Alex Bowman 10.75
  Tyler Reddick 10.75
15 Michael McDowell 7.96
16 Christopher Bell 5.02
17 Matt DiBenedetto 4.36
18 Ross Chastain 3.92
19 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 3.86
20 Daniel Suarez 3.49
21 Ryan Newman 3.06
22 Kurt Busch 3
23 Chase Briscoe 2.97
  Erik Jones 2.97
25 Ryan Preece 2.71
26 Bubba Wallace 2.66
27 Cole Custer 2.51
28 AJ Allmendinger 2.26
  Shane Golobic 2.26
  Chris Windom 2.26
  David Ragan 2.26
  Jamie McMurray 2.26
  Mike Marlar 2.26
34 Austin Cindric 2.09
35 Aric Almirola 0.9
36 James Davison 0.7
37 Justin Haley 0.7
38 BJ McLeod 0.69
39 Cody Ware 0.69
40 Garrett Smithley 0.69
41 Joey Gase 0.68
42 Quin Houff 0.68
43 Josh Bilicki 0.67
44 Harrison Burton 0.67
  Derrike Cope 0.67
  Scott Heckert 0.67
  Noah Gragson 0.67
  Kaz Grala 0.67
  Stewart Friesen 0.67
  Ty Dillon 0.67
  David Starr 0.67
  Kyle Tilley 0.67
  Ben Rhodes 0.67
  Mills Matt 0.67
  JJ Yeley 0.67
56 Timmy Hill 0.66
57 Corey Lajoie 0.65
58 Anthony Alfredo 0.61