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The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping

Driver Ratings

StatFox Driver Ratings are based on a weighted combination of 3 factors. The first is the drivers finishing position in recent races. The second factor is the driver's average qualifying position in recent races. Finally, the drivers ability to finish the race (DNF index) is factored. To calculate hypothetical race odds, determine the sum of the ratings of all drivers participating in a race. A driver's odds of winning are approximately equal to their rating divided by the sum of ratings of all participants.


RankDriverRating
1 William Byron 53.25
2 Chris Buescher 50.56
3 Denny Hamlin 47.86
4 Chase Elliott 46.4
5 Brad Keselowski 40.32
6 Martin Truex 34.4
7 Christopher Bell 28.47
8 Kevin Harvick 13.91
9 Kyle Larson 12.71
10 Bubba Wallace 12.27
11 Ross Chastain 10.53
12 Joey Logano 10.42
13 Kyle Busch 9.65
14 Tyler Reddick 9.55
15 Ryan Blaney 7.36
16 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 6.71
17 Ty Gibbs 4.2
18 Alex Bowman 3.94
19 Michael McDowell 3.9
20 AJ Allmendinger 3.55
21 Erik Jones 3.5
22 Daniel Suarez 3.44
  Aric Almirola 3.44
24 Carson Hocevar 3.17
25 Chase Briscoe 3.1
26 Ryan Preece 2.9
27 Justin Haley 2.89
28 Josh Berry 2.52
29 Matt Crafton 2.26
  Anthony Alfredo 2.26
  Jimmie Johnson 2.26
  Kamui Kobayashi 2.26
  Brodie Kostecki 2.26
  Andy Lally 2.26
  Shane Van Gisbergen 2.26
36 Todd Gilliland 2.19
37 Austin Dillon 2.12
38 Corey Lajoie 1.98
39 Austin Cindric 1.52
40 Harrison Burton 1.4
41 JJ Yeley 0.82
42 Josh Bilicki 0.7
43 Noah Gragson 0.7
44 Grant Enfinger 0.67
  Gray Gaulding 0.67
  Riley Herbst 0.67
  Austin Hill 0.67
  Jenson Button 0.67
  Jonathan Davenport 0.67
  Sheldon Creed 0.67
  Cody Ware 0.67
  Mike Rockenfeller 0.67
  Chandler Smith 0.67
54 Brennan Poole 0.66
55 Ty Dillon 0.63
56 Zane Smith 0.46
57 BJ McLeod 0.44
58 Cole Custer 0.42
59 Ryan Newman 0.2