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No. 6 Clemson visits No. 10 South Carolina Saturday
By: Robert Livingston - StatFox
Published: 11/30/2013  at  4:22:00 AM
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CLEMSON TIGERS (10-1)
at SOUTH CAROLINA GAMECOCKS (9-2)

Kickoff: Saturday, 7:00 p.m. ET
Line: South Carolina -5, Total: 58

In an intra-state rivalry that pits two top-10 teams against each other will resume on Saturday night with both No. 6 Clemson and No. 10 South Carolina looking to finish the season with a high-profile win heading into the bowl selection process.

The Tigers have gone 4-0 SU (3-1 ATS) since they got thumped 51-14 by Florida State for their only loss of the season. Clemson is 6-4-1 ATS this season and 2-1-1 ATS on the road, and has been an underdog twice, losing to FSU but beating Georgia in the first week of the season. The Gamecocks are 5-6 ATS this season and also 3-1 ATS since their last loss, which came at the hands of Tennessee. Their current four-game win streak started with an impressive win at Missouri. With a 27-17 victory against Clemson last season, South Carolina improved to 4-0 (SU and ATS) in the past four meetings between these two powerhouses. And over the past 10 seasons, home favorites of between 3.5 and 10 points are 73-34 ATS (68%) coming off a win by 35 or more points, like the Gamecocks after beating Coastal Carolina 70-10 last week. But over the past three years, Clemson is 8-0 ATS after three consecutive games of committing less than two turnovers.

Can Clemson end its losing skid in this rivalry series? For the answer, connect to College Football Best Bets for all the StatFox Experts picks throughout the 2013 regular season and bowl season. The four experts are a combined 52% ATS (109-101-7) in college football Best Bets for the season, led by StatFox Dave who is 59% ATS (33-23-2) in Best Bets this season, including 69% ATS (20-9-1) during a run of eight straight weeks of .500 or better. StatFox Brian is 54% ATS (30-26-1) in college football Best Bets this year.

Clemson QB Tajh Boyd struggled last year against the Gamecocks defense, completing only 11-of-24 passes while throwing two picks and only one touchdown. He also carried the ball 17 times for only 26 yards, though he added a rushing score. However, he has led a tremendous Clemson offense this year that’s averaging 42.3 PPG. Boyd has completed 67.3% of his passes for 3,248 yards, 29 TD and 7 INT. His go-to weapon is future NFL player WR Sammy Watkins (1,144 rec. yards, 10 TD). In last year’s loss to South Carolina, Watkins caught only four balls for 37 yards. Boyd is the main focus of the offense but the Gamecocks shouldn’t sleep on RB Roderick McDowell, who has 845 rushing yards on 5.2 YPC. Boyd likes to take it himself too, adding eight rushing touchdowns despite averaging only 2.2 YPC. The Tigers defense hasn’t been bad either, giving up just 20.2 PPG, only faltering in the loss to the Seminoles. The unit gives up 3.8 YPC and a completion rate of just 52.3%.

QB Connor Shaw has been ridiculously efficient as the Gamecocks signal caller this year, throwing for 20 TD and only one interception. He has completed 61.8% of his passes for 1,983 yards, averaging 8.5 yards per attempt. Shaw can run too, accumulating 417 rushing yards and four touchdowns on the ground. But sophomore RB Mike Davis is the team’s primary ball carrier, rushing for 1,112 yards on 6.2 YPC. Davis has 10 rushing scores and also ranks second on the team with 30 receptions. The team’s top receivers, though have been WRs Bruce Ellington (584 rec. yards, 6 TD) and Damiere Byrd (549 rec. yards, 4 TD). And the defense, highlighted by star DE Jadeveon Clowney, gives up 4.0 YPC and 7.0 yards per pass attempt.


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