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Ole Miss, Georgia Tech seek 8th win on Monday
By: Robert Livingston - StatFox
Published: 12/30/2013  at  4:30:00 AM
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OLE MISS REBELS (7-5)
vs. GEORGIA TECH YELLOW JACKETS (7-5)

Music City Bowl
LP Field - Nashville, TN
Kickoff: Monday, 3:15 p.m. ET
Line: Ole Miss -3, Total: 56.5

A winner of five consecutive bowl games, Ole Miss is slightly favored against Georgia Tech’s option offense in Monday's Music City Bowl in Nashville.

The Rebels had a strong stretch in the middle of their season that included a win against then-No. 6 LSU, but they closed the season with back-to-back losses to Missouri and Mississippi State. The Yellow Jackets lost two of their last three contests, though the losses were to strong foes in Clemson and Georgia. Ole Miss finished 6-6 ATS while the Yellow Jackets were 5-7 ATS. They both finished the season cold, with Georgia Tech failing to cover in four of their last five, and Ole Miss not covering in three of their final four. While the Rebels boasted a difficult schedule all year and one of the nation’s most prolific passing attacks, they’ll have to handle the Georgia Tech rushing attack that racked up 312 YPG, fifth most in the nation. These two programs have not met since the Rebels routed the Yellow Jackets 41-18 in the 1971 Peach Bowl. Georgia Tech won the other two previous meetings.

Which team will pick up its eighth win of the season on Monday? For the answer, connect to College Football Best Bets for all the StatFox Experts picks throughout the 2013 regular season and bowl season. The four experts finished the regular season a collective 51.1% ATS (120-115-7) on college football Best Bets, led by StatFox Dave's stellar 57% ATS (35-25-2) mark. This included a 64% ATS (23-13-2) record in his final 11 weeks. StatFox Gary was 2-1 ATS in the final week to finish 53% ATS (21-19-1) in the regular season. Gary was 56% ATS (20-16-1) in college football Best Bets since Week 3. StatFox Brian also finished strong with a 3-1 ATS mark on Best Bets in Championship Week, giving him his fourth straight winning season of college football Best Bets at 52% ATS (33-30-1). StatFox Scott is looking to repeat a huge 2012-13 bowl season, when he posted a 71% ATS mark in Best Bets (5-2-1).

Ole Miss QB Bo Wallace (3,090, 17 TD, nine INT) had a solid year under center, completing 64.4% of his passes. He struggled in the team’s final two losses, however, failing to throw for a touchdowns, but tossing four interceptions. But he did perform well in some marquee matchups, completing 30-of-39 passes against LSU. Three receivers have more than 500 yards for the Rebels, with Donte Moncrief (53 catches, 825 yards, 5 TD) leading the way, and Ja-Mes Logan (44 catches, 583 yards, 3 TD) and Laquon Treadwell (67 catches, 557 yards, 5 TD) also posing threats. Three running backs divide the carries in this pass-first offense. I’Tavius Mathers (505 yards, 6.2 YPC, 3 TD) has the most yards, while Jeff Scott (7.4 YPC, 493 yards, 2 TD) gets the most YPC and Jaylen Walton (97 carries, 470 yards, 6 TD) has the most scores.

Running the triple-option, the Yellow Jackets offense mainly keeps the ball on the ground, and has four different players with at least 450 rushing yards. One of those players is QB Vad Lee, who struggled as a passer with 10 TD, 9 INT and a poor 47.2% completion rate. On the ground, he averaged only 2.9 YPC, but racked up 489 yards and eight touchdowns. The team’s leading rusher was David Sims (5.6 YPC, 846 yards, 11 TD) while Robert Godhigh (10.1 YPC, 694 yards, 6 TD) racked up the biggest plays. Zach Laskey (458 yards, 5.8 YPC, 7 TD) rounds out the leading rushers. Godhigh was also the team’s top receiving threat with 21 catches for 420 yards and two touchdowns. DeAndre Smelter (345 yards, 4 TD) also made some big plays through the air. The Yellow Jackets defense gives up only 3.4 YPC, but allows a hefty 7.5 yards per passing attempt.


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