Kickoff: Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
Line: Green Bay -7.5, Total: 47.5

The Lions and the Packers battle for first place in the NFC North when the teams square off at Lambeau Field on Sunday.

Detroit barely got by in a 20-14 victory as 10-point road favorites over the Bears in Chicago last week, but has now won four straight games SU, but has failed to cover in the past two. Meanwhile, Green Bay defeated the Bucs 20-3 as 11-point favorites in Tampa Bay. These NFC North rivals now play for the division crown, but the Packers are 7-0 at home on the season and have beaten the Lions in 23 straight home games, going 16-5 ATS during this longest streak of domination in NFL history. When these teams met earlier in the year on Sept. 21, Detroit won 19-7 as a 1-point home favorite, marking its second straight win (SU and ATS) in this series, but Green Bay had won-and-covered in five straight in this series before that. The Packers are 7-18 ATS in home games after allowing four or less yards per play in their previous game since 1992, but the Lions are 1-10 ATS in road games after having won six or seven of their previous eight games in that timeframe. Four of the past five games played between these teams have finished Under the total.

Can the Lions finally escape Lambeau Field with a win? For the answer, connect to NFL Best Bets for all the StatFox Experts picks throughout the 2014 regular season and playoffs. StatFox Gary is coming off a perfect 5-0 ATS record in Best Bets for Week 16, and is now 71% ATS (20-8-1) in Best Bets since Week 9. StatFox Dave is 56% ATS (32-25-2) in Best Bets during since Week 3, while StatFox Scott is 54% ATS (31-26-1) during this same timeframe. StatFox Brian is 54% (28-24) in NFL Totals this season.

The Lions had plenty of trouble with the Bears last week, trailing 14-10 heading into the fourth quarter. RB Joique Bell (800 rush yards, 7 TD) came up huge in that game, rushing 13 times for 74 yards (5.7 YPC) and a touchdown. He has now rushed for at least 62 yards in each of the past four games, and has a total of five touchdowns over the past four weeks as well. RB Reggie Bush (278 yards, 2 TD) was also excellent for Detroit, rushing for 54 yards and a touchdown and also catching six passes for 44 yards. This duo should be effective against a Packers defense that is allowing 120.5 rushing yards per game (22nd in NFL). QB Matthew Stafford (4,040 pass yards, 19 TD, 12 INT) will need to get himself back on track after throwing for zero touchdowns and two picks against the Bears last week. He threw for just 246 yards with no touchdowns and two picks in the last meeting with the Packers and will need to take care of the ball in this game. WR Calvin Johnson (67 rec, 1,038 yards, 6 TD) had six catches for 82 yards in the last meeting with Green Bay, but he and Stafford will have to be much more effective if this team is going to break this long-lasting losing skid in Green Bay in order to win the NFC North division.

The Packers looked awful in a loss to the Bills two weeks ago, but they righted the ship in a win over the Bucs in Week 16. One reason they won that game was the excellent running of RB Eddie Lacy (1,039 rush yards, 9 TD). Lacy rushed for 99 yards and a touchdown in the win and will need to be just effective against the Lions. He had only 36 yards on 11 carries in their meeting earlier in the year, but his hard-nosed running can really set the tone for this offense. QB Aaron Rodgers (4,155 pass yards, 36 TD, 5 INT) threw for just 162 yards with one touchdown and no picks in the first meeting between these teams. He’ll need to be much better against the Lions this time around. In his past 11 meetings against the Lions, Rodgers has thrown for 247.4 yards per game with 20 touchdowns and only five interceptions. WRs Jordy Nelson (92 rec, 1,433 yards, 13 TD) and Randall Cobb (87 rec, 1,207 yards, 10 TD) should be in for big games in this one. Green Bay is going to unleash its passing attack with this game being as important as it is, and Rodgers will look to both of his go-to-guys often. This defense is allowing just 228.1 passing yards per game (10th in NFL) and will need to keep that up with a meeting with Stafford and Calvin Johnson on Sunday.