StatFox.com - Sports Handicapping Community

The Leader In Sports Handicapping

Fort Worth hosts Duck Commander 500 Saturday
By: Zach Cohen - StatFox
Published: 4/8/2016  at  6:56:00 PM
  Print This Article    

NASCAR Sprint Cup Series
Duck Commander 500

Saturday, April 9th – 1:00 p.m. EDT
Texas Motor Speedway, Fort Worth, TX

Odds to Win Race

(For the latest Odds, connect to Sportsbook.ag)

The Sprint Cup Series drivers head to Fort Worth for the Duck Commander 500 on Saturday. This track runs 1.5 miles long and the drivers will be going 334 laps in this race. One guy that will be looking forward to getting out on this track is Matt Kenseth. Kenseth has already won this race twice in his career (2002, 2011) and that ties him with Jeff Burton and Greg Biffle for the most victories ever recorded in this race. He’ll be looking forward to the opportunity to break that record on Saturday. Jimmie Johnson will, however, have victory on his mind as well. Johnson won this race in 2015 and he can become the first driver to ever win the Duck Commander 500 in back-to-back years. It’s also worth noting that three of the past five winners drove Ford manufactured cars. With that information out of the way, let’s now take a look at some of the best plays for Saturday’s race:

Matt Kenseth (7-to-1) - Kenseth has had a bit of a disappointing season, failing to record a single top-five finish thus far. He is, however, very good when he comes to Fort Worth. As mentioned earlier, Kenseth has already won the Duck Commander 500 twice in his career and that is the most wins in this race amongst all active drivers. He’ll be looking to become the outright leader in wins at this race on Saturday and he should only be fueled by his struggles this season. He desperately needs to make a splash and he’s a great bet to do it at 7-to-1 odds.

Joey Logano (7-to-1) - Like Kenseth, Logano has had a bit of a down season and will be coming into this race with plenty of motivation to win. While he hasn’t been as bad as Kenseth, Logano is winless on the season and he is far too good of a driver for that to hold up much longer. Logan has two top-five finishes on the season and he also happens to be pretty good at Texas Motor Speedway. Logan was the winner of this race in 2014 and there’s no reason to believe that he won’t be in the running to emerge victorious once again on Saturday. He’s getting the same odds as Kenseth in this race and is a very good play for the weekend.

Denny Hamlin (15-to-1) - Denny Hamlin has had a fantastic season thus far, winning the Daytona 500 in the first race of the year and also coming away with two other top-fives. Hamlin has consistently been one of the best drivers in the Sprint Cup Series over the past few years and that is why it’s a bit ridiculous that he is getting 15-to-1 odds on Saturday. Hamlin also happens to be solid at Texas Motor Speedway in his career. He won this race back in 2010 and is an excellent pick to do it again on Saturday. He’s worth putting a few units on.

Chase Elliott (20-to-1) - There are not many good dark horse candidates coming into this race, but Elliott is a guy that could pay off nicely on Saturday. The youngster has been extremely impressive on the season, racking up three top-10 finishes already. He has really improved since coming in just 37th at the Daytona 500 and he should be due for a victory soon. This is a good weekend to take him and it’d be a smart decision to pair him with a guy like Kenseth when playing this race.


FoxSheets.com
The FoxSheets - the most advanced sports handicapping information available on the internet.
Sign up for professional sports betting information including fantastic trends, and Free FoxSheets.
E-mail: