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UFC on Fox 21: Maia vs. Condit
By: Ethan Back - StatFox
Published: 8/22/2016  at  6:09:00 AM
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UFC on Fox 21: Maia vs. Condit

Saturday, August 27th – 8:00 p.m. ET
Vancouver, Canada

Demian Maia (23-6-0) vs. Carlos Condit (30-8-0)

Five Round Welterweight Bout
Line: Maia +105, Condit -135

Welterweight contenders Demian Maia and Carlos Condit meet at UFC on Fox 21.

Demian Maia has been a mainstay on the MMA scene for the better part of a decade, and he has been competing in the UFC since 2007. The 38-year-old Brazilian has won his last five outings, including a submission of Neil Magny that earned him a Performance of the Night award. At 32 years of age, Carlos Condit is no youngster himself, and he has been fighting in the UFC since 2009. In his most recent fight, Condit lost to Robbie Lawler in a split decision for the UFC Welterweight Championship, and amongst his most notable wins is a unanimous decision over Nick Diaz in 2012.

Maia lands just 1.83 significant strikes per minute at an accuracy of 44.93 percent. He is strong defensively, absorbing just 1.62 such strikes per minute with a defense rate of 62.71 percent. Grappling is Maia’s strong suit, and he averages 2.96 takedown attempts per 15 minutes at a 31.25 percent clip. He defends takedowns at a 65.63 percent rate, and averages 1.24 submission attempts per 15 minutes. Maia is hoping that he can get Condit onto the mat, as he won’t be able to win this thing if it turns into a standup brawl.

Condit is more of a power fighter than is his opponent, and he averages 3.80 significant strikes per minute at a 39.54 percent clip. He absorbs 2.44 significant strikes per minute and defends these strikes at a 56.39 percent rate. The Albuquerque native averages 0.59 takedown attempts per 15 minutes and has a 52.94 percent accuracy, while he defends takedowns 39.78 percent of the time. Condit also averages 1.18 submission attempts per 15 minutes.


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