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Colts, Jaguars meet in London Sunday
By: Zach Cohen - StatFox
Published: 10/1/2016  at  9:00:00 PM
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INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (1-2)
vs. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (0-3)

Wembley Stadium – London, England
Kickoff: Sunday, 9:30 p.m. ET
Line: Indianapolis -2.5, Total: 49.0

The Jaguars will be hoping to earn their first win of the season when they face the Colts in London’s Wembley Stadium on Sunday.

The Jaguars are the face of the NFL International Series, as they have now played three games outside of the states. Unfortunately for Jacksonville, the team has struggled in those games, as last year’s 34-31 victory over the Bills was the first Jaguars win outside of America. Jacksonville is, however, equally as lousy when playing in its home country, as the team is 0-3 SU this season. The Colts, meanwhile, are coming off of a 26-22 win-and-cover over the Chargers last week and the team desperately needed that victory. Indianapolis should be feeling confident coming into this one, as the team is 3-1 SU (2-2 ATS) against Jacksonville over the past three seasons and 21-9 SU against Jacksonville since 1992. Chuck Pagano also happens to be 6-0 ATS when playing against a team with a win percentage of 25% or worse as the coach of Indianapolis and is going up against a Jaguars team that is 0-6 ATS when facing a team that throws for 260 or more yards per game over the past three seasons. It is worth noting that this game should be very high scoring, as both teams have gone OVER in two of their three games this season.

The Colts finally picked up their first win of the season last week, as QB Andrew Luck (913 yards, 6 TD, 2 INT) hit WR T.Y. Hilton (18 rec, 294 yards, 1 TD) for a game-winning 63-yard touchdown with just over a minute remaining in the fourth quarter. Luck has still not played the way people have expected this season, but he might just break out in this one. The Jaguars have one of the league’s worst defenses and Luck will certainly be aggressive all day on Sunday. He will, however, need to avoid making any crucial mistakes, as he has had an issue with interceptions since coming into the league. One guy that could make things easier on Luck is RB Frank Gore (185 yards, 1 TD). Gore ran the ball pretty well against the Chargers, rushing for 82 yards and a touchdown in that game. When this Colts team is running the ball well, the field opens up for Luck to find his speedy receivers. Defensively, this Colts secondary is going to need to play well in this one. The Jaguars might be 0-3, but they do have talented players in their passing game and can light it up if given the chance. That was the case last year, when Jacksonville beat Indianapolis 51-16.

The Jaguars are searching for their first win of the season and they’ll be hoping that a game in England will deliver that to them. If this team is going to win then QB Blake Bortles (843 yards, 5 TD, 6 INT) is going to need to be a lot better in this one. Bortles has long taken criticism for being nothing but a quarterback that puts up good numbers and he has done nothing to change that this year. He has already thrown six picks in three games this season and his team seems to always be trailing early in games. Bortles did, however, throw for 250 yards with three touchdowns and zero picks in his last meeting with Indianapolis last year. He’ll be hoping to find some of that same success in this one on Sunday. Defensively, the Jaguars will need to have an answer for Andrew Luck in this one. Luck might be underperforming, but he is still one of the more dangerous quarterbacks in football. DE Dante Fowler (8 tackles, 2.0 sacks) is a player to watch in this one. He had two sacks against the Chargers and could really help Jacksonville by making Luck uncomfortable on Sunday.


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