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Indians look to finish Cubs in Game 6 of WS
By: Brad Kallet - StatFox
Published: 11/1/2016  at  8:31:00 AM
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CHICAGO CUBS (103-58)

at CLEVELAND INDIANS (94-67)

First pitch: Tuesday, 8:00 p.m. ET
Line: Chicago -142, Cleveland +132, Total: 7.0

The Indians, up 3-2 in the World Series, look to finish the Cubs at Progressive Field and win their first title since 1948.

The Cubs (103-58) and Indians (94-67) split the first two games of the series in Cleveland, but Terry Francona’s team took control of the Fall Classic with two consecutive victories at Wrigley Field. But the Cubs, on the brink of elimination, won Game 5 on Sunday night to force a Game 6 and send the series back to Progressive Field. RHP Jake Arrieta (18-8, 3.10 ERA during the regular season) will start for the Cubs, and he’ll be opposed by RHP Josh Tomlin (13-9, 4.40 ERA during the regular season). Arrieta started Game 2 and was brilliant, allowing one earned run on two hits in 5 2/3 innings to earn the win. Tomlin earned a no-decision in Game 3 but was very effective, throwing 4 2/3 scoreless innings and giving up just two hits. The Indians’ bullpen—led by LHP Andrew Miller (1 ER in 17 IP; 29 SO to 4 BB) and RHP Cody Allen (0 ER in 11 2/3 IP; 22 SO to 4 BB)—has been sensational, and the Cubs have arguably the most dominant closer in the game in LHP Aroldis Chapman (3 ER in 13 IP; 18 SO to 5 BB). The Indians have gone 5-1 at home this postseason; Joe Maddon’s team has posted a 4-3 road mark.

Only LF/2B Ben Zobrist (13-for-55, 4 2B, 3B, 4 RBI) and OF Jorge Soler (2-for-13, 3B) got hits off Tomlin in Game 3 before he was pulled for Miller in the fifth. 3B Kris Bryant (15-for-56, 5 2B, 2 HR, 7 RBI) broke out of his slump on Sunday with a homer, and 1B Anthony Rizzo (14-for-57, 5 2B, 2 HR, 7 RBI) and SS Addison Russell (11-for-56, 2B, 2 HR, 6 RBI) woke up with a double and two hits, respectively. If they’re locked in for Game 6, it could spell trouble for Tomlin. The Cubs should get a boost from DH Kyle Schwarber (3-for-8, 2B, 2 RBI), who will return to the lineup as a designated hitter. Schwarber only got one at-bat (0-for-1) in the three games at Wrigley. In three postseason starts this month, Arrieta has gone 1-1 with a 3.78 ERA in 16 2/3 innings pitched.

The Tribe didn’t get a hit off Arrieta in Game 2 until the sixth inning, when 2B Jason Kipnis (10-for-51, 2 2B, 3 HR, 7 RBI) doubled. He scored on a wild pitch, and Arrieta was removed with two outs in the inning after 1B Mike Napoli (8-for-43, 3 2B, HR, 2 RBI) singled to shallow left. SS Francisco Lindor (18-for-50, 3 2B, 2 HR, 6 RBI) and 3B Jose Ramirez (12-for-47, 2 2B, HR, 3 RBI) have had terrific series—8-for-19 and 6-for-20, respectively—so Arrieta will have to be particularly careful with them. Napoli and DH Carlos Santana (9-for-44, 2B, 3 HR, 3 RBI) have homered off Arrieta, and Kipnis has three hits against him. In three postseason starts this month, Tomlin has gone 2-0 with a 1.76 ERA in 15 1/3 innings.

*Stats provided are from 2016 MLB postseason, unless otherwise noted


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