StatFox.com - Sports Handicapping Community

The Leader In Sports Handicapping

Lincecum tries to snap Giants 4-game skid
By: Nick Bracken - StatFox
Published: 8/2/2011  at  4:48:00 AM
  Print This Article    

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS (60-49, +14.0 Units)

at SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (61-48, +8.0 Units)

First pitch: Tuesday, 10:15 p.m. EDT
Line: San Francisco -155, Arizona +145, Total: 6

The Giants will send Tim Lincecum to the mound to handle damage control as the Giants look to avoid a fifth straight loss. The Diamondbacks are looking to win their fourth in a row and tie up the tight NL West race. Arizona will be sending the young, but effective Daniel Hudson to the mound Tuesday night. The Diamondbacks got a great pitching performance out of Ian Kennedy in Monday’s series opener as Kennedy threw eight strong innings, allowing only two runs on six hits, while striking out seven in a 5-2 win.

Arizona has been a decent bet this year against its fellow NL West foes (21-18, +5.3 Units), and has won six straight games on the heels of scoring five-plus runs in the previous contest. Arizona has also had a lot of success in Daniel Hudson’s past 18 starts by winning 13 of them. The D-backs have not fared too well in low-scoring pitching matchups, as they are 7-11 when the total score is seven runs or less. San Francisco loves a good pitching matchup with a 27-15 mark at home when the total is less than seven. The Giants are 14-3 in Lincecum’s past 17 starts against a team with a winning record. Expect SAN FRANCISCO to snap its losing skid and win at home with their ace.

Here are two more FoxSheets trends backing the favored Giants, who are 33-13 (+18.0 Units) against Arizona in the past three seasons, including 17-5 (+10.2 Units) at home.

SAN FRANCISCO is 85-52 (62.0%, +29.7 Units) against the money line after batting .250 or worse over a 20 game span over the last 2 seasons. The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 3.9, OPPONENT 3.1 - (Rating = 2*).

SAN FRANCISCO is 77-49 (61.1%, +26.0 Units) against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 4.1, OPPONENT 3.4 - (Rating = 2*).

Daniel Hudson (10-7, 3.81 ERA) looks to get back on track after losing two straight (12.1 IP, 17 H, 9 ER). Hudson also is seeking his first win against the Giants this year, having lost the first two starts against them (4.97 ERA) after winning both meetings in 2010 (1.93 ERA). Hudson has had control problems versus San Francisco in 2011, walking six batters in only 12.2 innings pitched. Hudson was phenomenal in May and June going 8-1 with a 2.73 ERA, but he was only 1-2 with a 5.04 ERA in July and allowed opponents to hit .302 off him. Justin Upton (.302 BA, 21 HR, 65 RBI) has been sizzling, extending his hitting streak to 13 games on Monday. He’s batting .451 (23-for-51) with six homers and 19 RBI during the streak.

Tim Lincecum (9-8, 2.78 ERA) has owned Arizona in the past, going 7-2 with a 2.42 ERA and 130 K in 108 innings. He has also been terrific of late, with 3-1 record and a microscopic 1.08 ERA in his past four starts. Lincecum needs to get the usually strong Giants pitching back on track after allowing an uncharacteristic 25 runs (5.54 ERA) in the past four games.


FoxSheets.com
The FoxSheets - the most advanced sports handicapping information available on the internet.
Sign up for professional sports betting information including fantastic trends, and Free FoxSheets.
E-mail: