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Calgary travels to Montreal Sunday
By: Nick Bracken - StatFox
Published: 10/30/2011  at  2:09:00 AM
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CALGARY STAMPEDERS (9-7)

at MONTREAL ALOUETTES (10-6)

Kickoff: Sunday, 1:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Montreal -4, Total: 56

The Montreal Alouettes look to avoid back-to-back losses as they host the visiting Stampeders. Calgary is tied for second in the West and is just one game behind Edmonton for first place.

Calgary has been solid on the road this year, going 5-3 SU & ATS. The Stampeders offense has actually been a lot more potent on the road (31.0 PPG) than it has at home (25.1 PPG). Calgary has been good of late against quality teams going 4-1 ATS against teams with winning records. As for Montreal, the Alouettes have been very solid at home going 6-2 SU, but are just 3-5 ATS. As a matter of fact, Montreal has struggled ATS all year going 6-10 despite the 10-6 SU record. Montreal has lost four straight ATS and has gone 1-5 ATS in their past six October games. The Alouettes will pull out a tight one, but CALGARY is the pick here to cover.

Some more FoxSheets trends for the Stamps include this pair:

MONTREAL is 13-28 ATS (31.7%, -17.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging >=7.2 yards/play - after 9 or more games since 1996. The average score was MONTREAL 27.0, OPPONENT 28.7 - (Rating = 1*).

CALGARY is 12-4 ATS (75.0%, +7.6 Units) after playing a game at home over the last 2 seasons. The average score was CALGARY 32.3, OPPONENT 29.4.

Drew Tate has taken over the quarterback duties from Henry Burris and looked good in his first career start last week. Tate completed 23-of-32 passes to 10 different receivers for 250 yards and a touchdown. He was intercepted twice, but still led his team to a 25-13 win over Saskatchewan. Jon Cornish continues to pile up yards in both rushing and catching the football. In the past five games, he has 614 yards from scrimmage (502 rushing) and 4 TD. Calgary defeated Montreal 38-31 on August 27, which tied up the all time series at 31-31-1. The Stampeders have already clinched a playoff spot, but are fighting for a possible home game during the playoffs.

Montreal’s legendary quarterback, Anthony Calvillo, had quite possibly the worst game of his immaculate career last week’s 26-25 loss at Winnipeg. Calvillo connected on just 14-of-37 passes for 199 yards and tossed three interceptions. The 199 yards is the lowest output this season in which he played the entire game. Fortunately, the Als received a strong running performance from Brandon Whitaker, who rushed for 109 yards on just 15 carries (7.3 YPC). Calvillo is the league leader in passing yards (4,808) and (31) touchdowns, so it won’t be any surprise if he rebounds for a huge game against Calgary. He threw for 369 yards, 3 TD and 1 INT against the Stamps when they met back in August.


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